Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 24/10, 18:00

Prediction: Manresa vs San Pablo Burgos

Team pages: Manresa · San Pablo Burgos

Prediction summary

Estimated points

187.1Total

Manresa95.3

San Pablo Burgos91.8

1X2

60% 40%

Manresa San Pablo Burgos

Recent form · 10 last

Manresa 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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San Pablo Burgos 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Manresa 3–3 San Pablo Burgos (6 last)

Manresa94-101San Pablo Burgos
San Pablo Burgos100-102Manresa
Manresa93-68San Pablo Burgos
San Pablo Burgos82-90Manresa
Manresa87-101San Pablo Burgos
San Pablo Burgos91-80Manresa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manresa 1468 · San Pablo Burgos 1494

	Manresa	San Pablo Burgos
Our model	59%	41%
Market	60%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 187.1 points · Bet365 line 184.5 · +2.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points187.1Manresa 95.3 · San Pablo Burgos 91.8

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Manresa	San Pablo Burgos
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.1 / 94.2	89.6 / 90
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87.2 / 99.8	92 / 91.8
Est. result	95	92

Est. total187.1

Line O/U184.5

Diff.2.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.59

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.87

2 (+3.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 184.51.87

Under 184.51.87

Diff.: 2.55 · Est. total: 181.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.59 → 1.59	Bet365 1.59
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.5%

Time*	1	2
21:49 +3’	1.59	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Manresa 3–0–3 San Pablo Burgos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Spain Liga ACB	Manresa	94-101	San Pablo Burgos
20/12/25 Spain Liga ACB	San Pablo Burgos	100-102	Manresa
30/01/22 Spain Liga ACB	Manresa	93-68	San Pablo Burgos
06/11/21 Spain Liga ACB	San Pablo Burgos	82-90	Manresa
31/01/21 Spain Liga ACB	Manresa	87-101	San Pablo Burgos
19/12/20 Spain Liga ACB	San Pablo Burgos	91-80	Manresa

Standings · Spain Liga ACB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	442	361
2	Baskonia	4	3	1	386	330
3	Breogan	4	3	1	428	399
4	Tenerife	4	3	1	332	310
5	Zaragoza	4	3	1	364	346
6	Monbus Obradoiro	4	3	1	367	360
7	Valencia	4	2	2	399	369
8	Joventut	4	2	2	386	367
9	Unicaja Malaga	4	2	2	338	325
10	Barcelona	4	2	2	391	400
11	Bilbao	4	2	2	388	402
12	Girona	4	2	2	364	400
13	San Pablo Burgos	4	1	3	350	354
14	Forca Lleida	4	1	3	373	394
15	BC Andorra	4	1	3	352	380
16	UCAM Murcia	4	1	3	347	384
17	Coruna	4	1	3	366	422
18	Manresa	4	0	4	342	412

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Manresa	San Pablo Burgos
Unicaja Malaga	72-84 L	97-90 W
Bilbao	92-107 L	87-96 L
BC Andorra	94-104 L	85-83 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: San Pablo Burgos (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manresa

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB	72-84	L
11/10	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	83-120	L
03/10	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	95-101	L
26/09	Bilbao Spain Liga ACB	92-107	L
29/05	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	94-87	W
23/05	Gran Canaria Spain Liga ACB	87-80	W
16/05	Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB	101-83	W
12/05	Girona Spain Liga ACB	79-74	W
10/05	BC Andorra Spain Liga ACB	94-104	L
03/05	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	104-102	W

San Pablo Burgos

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Monbus Obradoiro Spain Liga ACB	72-79	L
11/10	Bilbao Spain Liga ACB	87-96	L
04/10	Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB	94-81	W
27/09	Baskonia Spain Liga ACB	97-98	L
29/05	Granada Spain Liga ACB	110-105	W
24/05	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	79-86	L
17/05	BC Andorra Spain Liga ACB	85-83	W
14/05	Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB	97-90	W
09/05	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	76-91	L
02/05	Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB	99-91	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manresa vs San Pablo Burgos?

Our model gives 60% to Manresa.

How many points are expected in Manresa vs San Pablo Burgos?

The model estimates 187.1 total points (Manresa 95.3 · San Pablo Burgos 91.8).