Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 18/10, 19:00

Prediction: Joventut vs Barcelona

Team pages: Joventut · Barcelona

Prediction summary
Estimated points
179.2Total
Joventut90.8
Barcelona88.4
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
57% 43%
Joventut Barcelona

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Joventut 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
WLLWWLLLLL
Barcelona 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WWWWLLLWLW
Head-to-head
Joventut 4–2 Barcelona (6 last)
  • Joventut101-87Barcelona
  • Joventut84-72Barcelona
  • Barcelona90-80Joventut
  • Barcelona80-81Joventut
  • Joventut86-93Barcelona
  • Barcelona90-91Joventut
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Joventut 1527 · Barcelona 1562
JoventutBarcelona
Our model58%42%
Market57%43%
Estimated total (ours) 179.2 points · Bet365 line 180.5 · -1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points179.2Joventut 90.8 · Barcelona 88.4

Match keys

  • H2H favours Joventut: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

JoventutBarcelona
Points F|A (Last 10)86.6 / 8993.6 / 92.9
Points F|A (Last 5)89 / 99.693.2 / 96.6
Est. result9188
Est. total179.2
Line O/U180.5
Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Joventut 4–0–2 Barcelona

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/09/26
Spain ACB Supercopa
Joventut101-87Barcelona
15/03/26
Spain Liga ACB
Joventut84-72Barcelona
21/12/25
Spain Liga ACB
Barcelona90-80Joventut
19/09/25
Club Friendlies
Barcelona80-81Joventut
30/03/25
Spain Liga ACB
Joventut86-93Barcelona
05/01/25
Spain Liga ACB
Barcelona90-91Joventut

Standings · Spain Liga ACB

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Baskonia 330 3092480
2 Real Madrid 330 3232770
3 Breogan 330 3262910
4 Bilbao 321 3042830
5 Tenerife 321 2502330
6 Barcelona 321 3022870
7 Zaragoza 321 2552480
8 Monbus Obradoiro 321 2882880
9 Valencia 312 2832760
10 San Pablo Burgos 312 2782750
11 Unicaja Malaga 312 2542530
12 Forca Lleida 312 2752850
13 UCAM Murcia 312 2542680
14 Coruna 312 2763120
15 Girona 312 2543100
16 BC Andorra 202 1691820
17 Joventut 202 1772030
18 Manresa 303 2703280

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Joventut

WLLWWLLLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
11/10 Baskonia
Spain Liga ACB
73-93 L
27/09 Breogan
Spain Liga ACB
104-110 L
14/06 Valencia
Spain Liga ACB
75-87 L
12/06 Valencia
Spain Liga ACB
76-90 L
10/06 Valencia
Spain Liga ACB
117-118 L
07/06 Baskonia
Spain Liga ACB
96-88 W
05/06 Baskonia
Spain Liga ACB
82-63 W
03/06 Baskonia
Spain Liga ACB
71-85 L
29/05 Girona
Spain Liga ACB
77-82 L
26/05 Unicaja Malaga
Spain Liga ACB
95-74 W

Barcelona

WWWWLLLWLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
11/10 Valencia
Spain Liga ACB
89-86 W
04/10 UCAM Murcia
Spain Liga ACB
94-100 L
26/09 Coruna
Spain Liga ACB
119-101 W
24/06 Valencia
Spain Liga ACB
84-108 L
22/06 Valencia
Spain Liga ACB
80-88 L
20/06 Valencia
Spain Liga ACB
75-102 L
18/06 Valencia
Spain Liga ACB
113-112 W
13/06 Tenerife
Spain Liga ACB
85-76 W
11/06 Tenerife
Spain Liga ACB
97-89 W
09/06 Tenerife
Spain Liga ACB
100-67 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Joventut vs Barcelona?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Joventut 57% · Barcelona 43%).

How many points are expected in Joventut vs Barcelona?

The model estimates 179.2 total points (Joventut 90.8 · Barcelona 88.4).