Basketball · China CBA · 21/10, 13:35

Prediction: Qingdao Eagles vs Liaoning Flying Leopards

Team pages: Qingdao Eagles · Liaoning Flying Leopards

Prediction summary

Estimated points

181.4Total

Qingdao Eagles92.7

Liaoning Flying Leopards88.8

1X2

61% 39%

Qingdao Eagles Liaoning Flying Leopards

Recent form · 10 last

Qingdao Eagles 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLWLLL

Liaoning Flying Leopards 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWWLLW

Head-to-head

Qingdao Eagles 5–1 Liaoning Flying Leopards (6 last)

Qingdao Eagles98-96Liaoning Flying Leopards
Liaoning Flying Leopards70-86Qingdao Eagles
Liaoning Flying Leopards121-93Qingdao Eagles
Qingdao Eagles103-100Liaoning Flying Leopards
Qingdao Eagles94-78Liaoning Flying Leopards
Qingdao Eagles96-79Liaoning Flying Leopards

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Qingdao Eagles 1546 · Liaoning Flying Leopards 1530

	Qingdao Eagles	Liaoning Flying Leopards
Our model	65%	35%
Market	60%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 181.4 points · Bet365 line 171.5 · +9.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points181.4Qingdao Eagles 92.7 · Liaoning Flying Leopards 88.8

Match keys

H2H favours Qingdao Eagles: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Qingdao Eagles	Liaoning Flying Leopards
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.1 / 91.5	87.8 / 89.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	88.8 / 89.6	89.6 / 88
Est. result	93	89

Est. total181.4

Line O/U171.5

Diff.9.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.54

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.83

2 (+3.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 171.51.83

Under 171.51.83

Diff.: 8.1 · Est. total: 179.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.54 → 1.54	Bet365 1.54
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5%

Time*	1	2
10:45 +2’	1.54	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Qingdao Eagles 5–0–1 Liaoning Flying Leopards

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 China CBA	Qingdao Eagles	98-96	Liaoning Flying Leopards
13/01/26 China CBA	Liaoning Flying Leopards	70-86	Qingdao Eagles
07/03/25 China CBA	Liaoning Flying Leopards	121-93	Qingdao Eagles
12/01/25 China CBA	Qingdao Eagles	103-100	Liaoning Flying Leopards
15/11/24 China CBA Club Cup	Qingdao Eagles	94-78	Liaoning Flying Leopards
28/10/24 China CBA	Qingdao Eagles	96-79	Liaoning Flying Leopards

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Shanghai Sharks	2	2	0	207	160
2	Beijing Royal Fighters	2	1	1	187	176
3	Shenzhen Leopards	2	1	1	157	183
4	Fujian Sturgeons	1	1	0	89	85
5	Jiangsu Dragons	2	0	2	166	178
6	Sichuan Blue Whales	1	1	0	97	85
7	Liaoning Flying Leopards	1	1	0	95	84
8	Guangzhou Long-Lions	1	1	0	90	79
9	Zhejiang Lions	1	1	0	115	109
10	Beijing Ducks	1	1	0	84	82
11	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	1	1	0	82	80
12	Nanjing Monkey King	1	1	0	96	95
13	Guangdong Southern Tigers	1	0	1	95	96
14	Jilin Northeast Tigers	1	0	1	82	84
15	Qingdao Eagles	1	0	1	80	82
16	Shanxi Loongs	1	0	1	109	115
17	Shandong Hi-Speed	1	0	1	84	95
18	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	1	0	1	79	90
19	Tianjin Pioneers	1	0	1	85	97
20	Ningbo Rockets	1	0	1	71	95

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Qingdao Eagles

LWWLWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	80-82	L
02/05	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	94-97	L
29/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	86-90	L
24/04	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	94-84	W
19/04	Beijing Ducks China CBA	90-95	L
17/04	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	106-97	W
14/04	Beijing Ducks China CBA	70-87	L
12/04	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	78-77	W
10/04	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	98-96	W
08/04	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	105-110	L

Liaoning Flying Leopards

LWWLLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	95-84	W
03/05	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	82-98	L
01/05	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	86-102	L
28/04	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	77-67	W
24/04	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	108-89	W
20/04	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	80-114	L
18/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	71-76	L
15/04	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	103-95	W
13/04	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	80-75	W
10/04	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	96-98	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Qingdao Eagles vs Liaoning Flying Leopards?

Our model gives 61% to Qingdao Eagles.

How many points are expected in Qingdao Eagles vs Liaoning Flying Leopards?

The model estimates 181.4 total points (Qingdao Eagles 92.7 · Liaoning Flying Leopards 88.8).