Basketball · China CBA · 31/10, 12:35

Prediction: Shandong Hi-Speed vs Guangdong Southern Tigers

Team pages: Shandong Hi-Speed · Guangdong Southern Tigers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

174.5Total

Shandong Hi-Speed87.4

Guangdong Southern Tigers87.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

51% 49%

Shandong Hi-Speed Guangdong Southern Tigers

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Shandong Hi-Speed 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLWWLL

Guangdong Southern Tigers 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWWLW

Head-to-head

Shandong Hi-Speed 3–3 Guangdong Southern Tigers (6 last)

Guangdong Southern Tigers68-74Shandong Hi-Speed
Shandong Hi-Speed99-86Guangdong Southern Tigers
Guangdong Southern Tigers94-88Shandong Hi-Speed
Guangdong Southern Tigers98-93Shandong Hi-Speed
Shandong Hi-Speed115-105Guangdong Southern Tigers
Guangdong Southern Tigers127-101Shandong Hi-Speed

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shandong Hi-Speed 1498 · Guangdong Southern Tigers 1487

	Shandong Hi-Speed	Guangdong Southern Tigers
Our model	64%	36%
Market	47%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 174.5 points · Bet365 line 181.5 · -7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points174.5Shandong Hi-Speed 87.4 · Guangdong Southern Tigers 87.1

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Shandong Hi-Speed	Guangdong Southern Tigers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	89.9 / 92.7	88.3 / 89.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	93.6 / 96.8	85.8 / 86
Est. result	87	87

Est. total174.5

Line O/U181.5

Diff.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

21.74

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.83

2 (-1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 181.51.83

Under 181.51.83

Diff.: 1.3 · Est. total: 180.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
2	1.74 → 1.74	Bet365 1.74

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7%

Time*	1	2
11:46 +3’	1.95	1.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shandong Hi-Speed 3–0–3 Guangdong Southern Tigers

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/10/26 Club Friendlies	Guangdong Southern Tigers	68-74	Shandong Hi-Speed
06/04/26 China CBA	Shandong Hi-Speed	99-86	Guangdong Southern Tigers
26/12/25 China CBA	Guangdong Southern Tigers	94-88	Shandong Hi-Speed
04/01/25 China CBA	Guangdong Southern Tigers	98-93	Shandong Hi-Speed
15/10/24 China CBA	Shandong Hi-Speed	115-105	Guangdong Southern Tigers
20/03/24 China CBA	Guangdong Southern Tigers	127-101	Shandong Hi-Speed

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	6	6	0	625	473
2	Beijing Royal Fighters	6	4	2	588	483
3	Shanghai Sharks	5	4	1	492	439
4	Liaoning Flying Leopards	5	4	1	478	447
5	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	5	4	1	428	369
6	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	6	3	3	518	523
7	Fujian Sturgeons	6	3	3	547	532
8	Guangdong Southern Tigers	6	3	3	524	526
9	Nanjing Monkey King	6	2	4	528	581
10	Zhejiang Lions	5	3	2	463	465
11	Jilin Northeast Tigers	5	3	2	426	415
12	Sichuan Blue Whales	6	2	4	475	574
13	Guangzhou Long-Lions	5	3	2	454	469
14	Qingdao Eagles	6	2	4	534	542
15	Shandong Hi-Speed	6	2	4	552	579
16	Shanxi Loongs	5	3	2	499	454
17	Shenzhen Leopards	5	2	3	384	489
18	Jiangsu Dragons	6	1	5	495	532
19	Tianjin Pioneers	5	1	4	462	489
20	Ningbo Rockets	5	0	5	373	464

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shandong Hi-Speed	Guangdong Southern Tigers
Beijing Ducks	92-103 L	78-96 L
Nanjing Monkey King	106-97 W	95-96 L
Shanghai Sharks	68-96 L	87-99 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Shandong Hi-Speed (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shandong Hi-Speed

WWLLLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/10	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	90-102	L
27/10	Beijing Ducks China CBA	92-103	L
25/10	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	105-93	W
23/10	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	106-97	W
21/10	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	75-89	L
18/10	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	84-95	L
09/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	68-96	L
06/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	79-84	L
03/05	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	98-82	W
01/05	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	102-86	W

Guangdong Southern Tigers

WLWLLLWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/10	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	82-80	W
26/10	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	87-99	L
24/10	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	86-77	W
22/10	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	96-78	W
20/10	Beijing Ducks China CBA	78-96	L
18/10	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	95-96	L
12/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	73-88	L
09/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	102-99	W
06/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	94-102	L
03/05	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	90-80	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shandong Hi-Speed vs Guangdong Southern Tigers?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Shandong Hi-Speed 51% · Guangdong Southern Tigers 49%).

How many points are expected in Shandong Hi-Speed vs Guangdong Southern Tigers?

The model estimates 174.5 total points (Shandong Hi-Speed 87.4 · Guangdong Southern Tigers 87.1).