Basketball · China CBA · 30/10, 12:35

Prediction: Tianjin Pioneers vs Zhejiang Lions

Team pages: Tianjin Pioneers · Zhejiang Lions

Prediction summary

Estimated points

184.4Total

Tianjin Pioneers89.3

Zhejiang Lions95.1

1X2

34% 66%

Tianjin Pioneers Zhejiang Lions

Recent form · 10 last

Tianjin Pioneers 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Zhejiang Lions 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tianjin Pioneers 1–5 Zhejiang Lions (6 last)

Tianjin Pioneers83-75Zhejiang Lions
Zhejiang Lions84-78Tianjin Pioneers
Zhejiang Lions103-93Tianjin Pioneers
Tianjin Pioneers95-102Zhejiang Lions
Tianjin Pioneers68-102Zhejiang Lions
Zhejiang Lions108-90Tianjin Pioneers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tianjin Pioneers 1427 · Zhejiang Lions 1514

	Tianjin Pioneers	Zhejiang Lions
Our model	50%	50%
Market	30%	70%

Estimated total (ours) 184.4 points · Bet365 line 184.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points184.4Tianjin Pioneers 89.3 · Zhejiang Lions 95.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zhejiang Lions (rating 1427 vs 1514).
Zhejiang Lions is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours Zhejiang Lions: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tianjin Pioneers	Zhejiang Lions
Points F\|A (Last 10)	93.6 / 97.6	90.1 / 96.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	92.4 / 97.8	92.6 / 93
Est. result	89	95

Est. total184.4

Line O/U184.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.10

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+6.5)1.83

2 (-6.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 184.51.83

Under 184.51.83

Diff.: 4.3 · Est. total: 188.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.3%

Time*	1	2
14:43 +4’	3.10	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tianjin Pioneers 1–0–5 Zhejiang Lions

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 China CBA Summer League	Tianjin Pioneers	83-75	Zhejiang Lions
04/09/26 China CBA Summer League	Zhejiang Lions	84-78	Tianjin Pioneers
24/04/26 China CBA	Zhejiang Lions	103-93	Tianjin Pioneers
24/03/26 China CBA	Tianjin Pioneers	95-102	Zhejiang Lions
01/01/26 China CBA	Tianjin Pioneers	68-102	Zhejiang Lions
04/12/25 China CBA Club Cup	Zhejiang Lions	108-90	Tianjin Pioneers

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	6	6	0	625	473
2	Beijing Royal Fighters	6	4	2	588	483
3	Shanghai Sharks	5	4	1	492	439
4	Fujian Sturgeons	6	3	3	547	532
5	Guangdong Southern Tigers	6	3	3	524	526
6	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	5	4	1	428	369
7	Liaoning Flying Leopards	5	4	1	478	447
8	Zhejiang Lions	5	3	2	463	465
9	Jilin Northeast Tigers	5	3	2	426	415
10	Sichuan Blue Whales	6	2	4	475	574
11	Shanxi Loongs	5	3	2	499	454
12	Guangzhou Long-Lions	5	3	2	454	469
13	Qingdao Eagles	6	2	4	534	542
14	Shandong Hi-Speed	6	2	4	552	579
15	Shenzhen Leopards	5	2	3	384	489
16	Jiangsu Dragons	6	1	5	495	532
17	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	5	2	3	434	440
18	Nanjing Monkey King	5	2	3	445	497
19	Tianjin Pioneers	5	1	4	462	489
20	Ningbo Rockets	5	0	5	373	464

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tianjin Pioneers

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	90-94	L
25/10	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	93-105	L
23/10	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	102-86	W
20/10	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	92-107	L
17/10	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	85-97	L
24/04	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	93-103	L
20/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	84-96	L
17/04	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	97-106	L
15/04	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	100-84	W
13/04	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	100-98	W

Zhejiang Lions

LLLWLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	90-84	W
24/10	Jilin Northeast Tigers China CBA	81-82	L
22/10	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	78-96	L
20/10	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	99-94	W
17/10	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	115-109	W
05/06	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	82-103	L
02/06	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	101-93	W
31/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	77-110	L
28/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	88-91	L
26/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	90-101	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tianjin Pioneers vs Zhejiang Lions?

Our model gives 66% to Zhejiang Lions.

How many points are expected in Tianjin Pioneers vs Zhejiang Lions?

The model estimates 184.4 total points (Tianjin Pioneers 89.3 · Zhejiang Lions 95.1).