Basketball · China CBA · 31/10, 12:35

Prediction: Beijing Royal Fighters vs Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Team pages: Beijing Royal Fighters · Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

184Total

Beijing Royal Fighters95.7

Xinjiang Flying Tigers88.4

1X2

70% 30%

Beijing Royal Fighters Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Recent form · 10 last

Beijing Royal Fighters 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLWWLW

Xinjiang Flying Tigers 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWLLLW

Head-to-head

Beijing Royal Fighters 1–5 Xinjiang Flying Tigers (6 last)

Xinjiang Flying Tigers103-89Beijing Royal Fighters
Beijing Royal Fighters95-105Xinjiang Flying Tigers
Xinjiang Flying Tigers79-73Beijing Royal Fighters
Xinjiang Flying Tigers85-81Beijing Royal Fighters
Beijing Royal Fighters93-100Xinjiang Flying Tigers
Beijing Royal Fighters102-101Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Beijing Royal Fighters 1540 · Xinjiang Flying Tigers 1469

	Beijing Royal Fighters	Xinjiang Flying Tigers
Our model	72%	28%
Market	70%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 184 points · Bet365 line 176.5 · +7.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points184Beijing Royal Fighters 95.7 · Xinjiang Flying Tigers 88.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beijing Royal Fighters (rating 1540 vs 1469).
Beijing Royal Fighters is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours Xinjiang Flying Tigers: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Beijing Royal Fighters	Xinjiang Flying Tigers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	95 / 84.6	89.3 / 90.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	98.6 / 82.4	87.2 / 88.6
Est. result	96	88

Est. total184

Line O/U176.5

Diff.7.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.33

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.83

2 (+6.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 176.51.83

Under 176.51.83

Diff.: 3.3 · Est. total: 179.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.3%

Time*	1	2
11:20 +28’	1.33	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Beijing Royal Fighters 1–0–5 Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 China CBA	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	103-89	Beijing Royal Fighters
18/12/25 China CBA	Beijing Royal Fighters	95-105	Xinjiang Flying Tigers
27/08/25 China CBA Summer League	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	79-73	Beijing Royal Fighters
31/03/25 China CBA	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	85-81	Beijing Royal Fighters
24/12/24 China CBA	Beijing Royal Fighters	93-100	Xinjiang Flying Tigers
15/12/24 China CBA	Beijing Royal Fighters	102-101	Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Standings · China CBA

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	6	6	0	625	473
2	Beijing Royal Fighters	6	4	2	588	483
3	Shanghai Sharks	5	4	1	492	439
4	Liaoning Flying Leopards	5	4	1	478	447
5	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	5	4	1	428	369
6	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	6	3	3	518	523
7	Fujian Sturgeons	6	3	3	547	532
8	Guangdong Southern Tigers	6	3	3	524	526
9	Nanjing Monkey King	6	2	4	528	581
10	Zhejiang Lions	5	3	2	463	465
11	Jilin Northeast Tigers	5	3	2	426	415
12	Sichuan Blue Whales	6	2	4	475	574
13	Guangzhou Long-Lions	5	3	2	454	469
14	Qingdao Eagles	6	2	4	534	542
15	Shandong Hi-Speed	6	2	4	552	579
16	Shanxi Loongs	5	3	2	499	454
17	Shenzhen Leopards	5	2	3	384	489
18	Jiangsu Dragons	6	1	5	495	532
19	Tianjin Pioneers	5	1	4	462	489
20	Ningbo Rockets	5	0	5	373	464

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Beijing Royal Fighters	Xinjiang Flying Tigers
Shenzhen Leopards	103-70 W	96-104 L
Shanghai Sharks	92-105 L	86-111 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Beijing Royal Fighters (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Beijing Royal Fighters

WWLLWLWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/10	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	115-64	W
27/10	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	90-91	L
25/10	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	103-70	W
23/10	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	93-82	W
19/10	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	92-105	L
17/10	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	95-71	W
24/04	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	78-94	L
19/04	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	104-117	L
17/04	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	93-71	W
15/04	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	87-81	W

Xinjiang Flying Tigers

LLWLWWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/10	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	84-83	W
27/10	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	75-81	L
25/10	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	87-98	L
22/10	Jilin Northeast Tigers China CBA	83-89	L
20/10	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	107-92	W
17/10	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	82-80	W
24/04	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	84-94	L
19/04	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	109-75	W
17/04	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	86-111	L
15/04	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	96-104	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Beijing Royal Fighters vs Xinjiang Flying Tigers?

Our model gives 70% to Beijing Royal Fighters.

How many points are expected in Beijing Royal Fighters vs Xinjiang Flying Tigers?

The model estimates 184 total points (Beijing Royal Fighters 95.7 · Xinjiang Flying Tigers 88.4).