Basketball · China CBA · 31/10, 12:35

Prediction: Fujian Sturgeons vs Qingdao Eagles

Team pages: Fujian Sturgeons · Qingdao Eagles

Prediction summary

Estimated points

185Total

Fujian Sturgeons92.7

Qingdao Eagles92.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

51% 49%

Fujian Sturgeons Qingdao Eagles

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Fujian Sturgeons 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWLLW

Qingdao Eagles 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLWWL

Head-to-head

Fujian Sturgeons 2–4 Qingdao Eagles (6 last)

Fujian Sturgeons102-92Qingdao Eagles
Fujian Sturgeons86-77Qingdao Eagles
Qingdao Eagles114-84Fujian Sturgeons
Fujian Sturgeons101-124Qingdao Eagles
Qingdao Eagles114-102Fujian Sturgeons
Qingdao Eagles121-114Fujian Sturgeons

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fujian Sturgeons 1523 · Qingdao Eagles 1479

	Fujian Sturgeons	Qingdao Eagles
Our model	68%	32%
Market	47%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 185 points · Bet365 line 180.5 · +4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points185Fujian Sturgeons 92.7 · Qingdao Eagles 92.3

Match keys

H2H favours Qingdao Eagles: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fujian Sturgeons	Qingdao Eagles
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.3 / 88.3	89.8 / 90.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	91.6 / 89.4	90.8 / 92
Est. result	93	92

Est. total185

Line O/U180.5

Diff.4.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

21.74

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.83

2 (-1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 180.51.83

Under 180.51.83

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 180.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
2	1.74 → 1.74	Bet365 1.74

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7%

Time*	1	2
11:45 +3’	1.95	1.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fujian Sturgeons 2–0–4 Qingdao Eagles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 China CBA	Fujian Sturgeons	102-92	Qingdao Eagles
23/03/26 China CBA	Fujian Sturgeons	86-77	Qingdao Eagles
12/03/26 China CBA	Qingdao Eagles	114-84	Fujian Sturgeons
31/03/25 China CBA	Fujian Sturgeons	101-124	Qingdao Eagles
19/12/24 China CBA	Qingdao Eagles	114-102	Fujian Sturgeons
02/12/24 China CBA	Qingdao Eagles	121-114	Fujian Sturgeons

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	6	6	0	625	473
2	Beijing Royal Fighters	6	4	2	588	483
3	Shanghai Sharks	5	4	1	492	439
4	Liaoning Flying Leopards	5	4	1	478	447
5	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	5	4	1	428	369
6	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	6	3	3	518	523
7	Fujian Sturgeons	6	3	3	547	532
8	Guangdong Southern Tigers	6	3	3	524	526
9	Nanjing Monkey King	6	2	4	528	581
10	Zhejiang Lions	5	3	2	463	465
11	Jilin Northeast Tigers	5	3	2	426	415
12	Sichuan Blue Whales	6	2	4	475	574
13	Guangzhou Long-Lions	5	3	2	454	469
14	Qingdao Eagles	6	2	4	534	542
15	Shandong Hi-Speed	6	2	4	552	579
16	Shanxi Loongs	5	3	2	499	454
17	Shenzhen Leopards	5	2	3	384	489
18	Jiangsu Dragons	6	1	5	495	532
19	Tianjin Pioneers	5	1	4	462	489
20	Ningbo Rockets	5	0	5	373	464

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fujian Sturgeons

WWLWWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/10	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	102-90	W
27/10	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	78-88	L
24/10	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	89-94	L
22/10	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	95-76	W
20/10	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	94-99	L
17/10	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	89-85	W
24/04	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	93-91	W
20/04	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	94-101	L
18/04	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	95-83	W
16/04	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	84-76	W

Qingdao Eagles

LWLLLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/10	Beijing Ducks China CBA	86-105	L
27/10	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	94-90	W
25/10	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	101-80	W
23/10	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	80-88	L
21/10	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	93-97	L
17/10	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	80-82	L
02/05	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	94-97	L
29/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	86-90	L
24/04	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	94-84	W
19/04	Beijing Ducks China CBA	90-95	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fujian Sturgeons vs Qingdao Eagles?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Fujian Sturgeons 51% · Qingdao Eagles 49%).

How many points are expected in Fujian Sturgeons vs Qingdao Eagles?

The model estimates 185 total points (Fujian Sturgeons 92.7 · Qingdao Eagles 92.3).