Basketball · France Ligue A · 03/10, 18:30

Prediction: Limoges vs Saint-Quentin

Team pages: Limoges · Saint-Quentin

Prediction summary

Estimated points

172.1Total

Limoges90.3

Saint-Quentin81.8

1X2

73% 27%

Limoges Saint-Quentin

Recent form · 10 last

Limoges 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWWWLL

Saint-Quentin 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWLLW

Head-to-head

Limoges 5–1 Saint-Quentin (6 last)

Saint-Quentin77-86Limoges
Limoges80-62Saint-Quentin
Limoges74-70Saint-Quentin
Saint-Quentin72-67Limoges
Limoges83-80Saint-Quentin
Saint-Quentin75-83Limoges

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Limoges 1486 · Saint-Quentin 1467

	Limoges	Saint-Quentin
Our model	65%	35%
Market	75%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 172.1 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · +2.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points172.1Limoges 90.3 · Saint-Quentin 81.8

Match keys

Limoges is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours Limoges: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Limoges	Saint-Quentin
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.2 / 86.7	88.5 / 88.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	88 / 83.4	92 / 86.6
Est. result	90	82

Est. total172.1

Line O/U169.5

Diff.2.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.24

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.83

2 (+8.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 169.51.83

Under 169.51.83

Diff.: 3.45 · Est. total: 172.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.24 → 1.24	Bet365 1.24
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	2
16:44 +10’	1.24	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Limoges 5–0–1 Saint-Quentin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/01/26 France Ligue A	Saint-Quentin	77-86	Limoges
24/10/25 France Ligue A	Limoges	80-62	Saint-Quentin
17/05/25 France Ligue A	Limoges	74-70	Saint-Quentin
14/12/24 France Ligue A	Saint-Quentin	72-67	Limoges
06/04/24 France Ligue A	Limoges	83-80	Saint-Quentin
29/10/23 France Ligue A	Saint-Quentin	75-83	Limoges

Standings · France Ligue A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Nanterre	1	1	0	78	64
2	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	1	1	0	97	85
3	Dijon	1	1	0	81	72
4	Chalon	1	1	0	82	74
5	Le Mans	1	1	0	103	97
6	Paris	1	1	0	78	73
7	Saint-Quentin	1	1	0	106	103
8	Roanne	1	1	0	81	79
9	Boulazac	1	0	1	79	81
10	Bourg	1	0	1	103	106
11	Nancy	1	0	1	73	78
12	Gravelines	1	0	1	97	103
13	Limoges	1	0	1	74	82
14	Strasbourg	1	0	1	72	81
15	Cholet	1	0	1	85	97
16	Pau-Orthez	1	0	1	64	78

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Limoges	Saint-Quentin
Chalon	74-82 L	65-86 L
Le Mans	84-101 L	85-88 L
Boulazac	80-72 W	88-81 W
Nanterre	97-79 W	75-80 L
Bourg	71-92 L	106-103 W
Nancy	89-95 L	71-84 L
Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	73-90 L	70-86 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Limoges (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Limoges

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	Chalon France Ligue A	74-82	L
16/05	Le Mans France Ligue A	84-101	L
07/05	Boulazac France Ligue A	80-72	W
02/05	Le Portel France Ligue A	105-83	W
19/04	Nanterre France Ligue A	97-79	W
15/04	Bourg France Ligue A	71-92	L
11/04	Gravelines France Ligue A	93-64	W
28/03	Nancy France Ligue A	89-95	L
22/03	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	73-90	L
13/03	Chalon France Ligue A	56-109	L

Saint-Quentin

WLLWLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	Bourg France Ligue A	106-103	W
16/05	Nancy France Ligue A	71-84	L
09/05	Le Mans France Ligue A	85-88	L
03/05	Bourg France Ligue A	89-71	W
18/04	Strasbourg France Ligue A	109-87	W
12/04	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	70-86	L
04/04	Boulazac France Ligue A	88-81	W
28/03	Nanterre France Ligue A	75-80	L
21/03	Chalon France Ligue A	65-86	L
15/03	Dijon France Ligue A	127-119	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Limoges vs Saint-Quentin?

Our model gives 73% to Limoges.

How many points are expected in Limoges vs Saint-Quentin?

The model estimates 172.1 total points (Limoges 90.3 · Saint-Quentin 81.8).