Basketball · France Ligue A · 10/10, 18:00
Prediction: Nanterre vs Gravelines
Team pages: Gravelines
Prediction summary
Estimated points
162.7Total
Nanterre86.5
Gravelines76.2
1X2
Nanterre
Gravelines
Recent form · 10 last
Nanterre
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Gravelines
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nanterre
5–1
Gravelines
(6 last)
- Gravelines80-85Nanterre
- Nanterre101-79Gravelines
- Nanterre93-80Gravelines
- Gravelines83-89Nanterre
- Gravelines80-79Nanterre
- Nanterre78-75Gravelines
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nanterre 1511 · Gravelines 1407
| Nanterre | Gravelines | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 25% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
162.7 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · -1.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points162.7Nanterre 86.5 · Gravelines 76.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nanterre (rating 1511 vs 1407).
- Nanterre is a clear favourite (77% market).
- H2H favours Nanterre: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Nanterre | Gravelines | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.1 / 80.9 | 80.4 / 88.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.6 / 83.6 | 79.8 / 88.2 |
| Est. result | 87 | 76 |
Est. total162.7
Line O/U164.5
Diff.1.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nanterre 5–0–1 Gravelines
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 France Ligue A | Gravelines | 80-85 | Nanterre |
| 04/10/25 France Ligue A | Nanterre | 101-79 | Gravelines |
| 28/02/25 France Ligue A | Nanterre | 93-80 | Gravelines |
| 15/12/24 France Ligue A | Gravelines | 83-89 | Nanterre |
| 20/01/24 France Ligue A | Gravelines | 80-79 | Nanterre |
| 16/12/23 France Ligue A | Nanterre | 78-75 | Gravelines |
Standings · France Ligue A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dijon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 170 | 133 | 0 |
| 2 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 167 | 150 | 0 |
| 3 | Roanne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 174 | 162 | 0 |
| 4 | Paris | 2 | 2 | 0 | 181 | 174 | 0 |
| 5 | Bourg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 193 | 183 | 0 |
| 6 | Limoges | 2 | 1 | 1 | 166 | 157 | 0 |
| 7 | Chalon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 159 | 164 | 0 |
| 8 | Saint-Quentin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 181 | 195 | 0 |
| 9 | Le Mans | 2 | 1 | 1 | 204 | 200 | 0 |
| 10 | Nanterre | 2 | 1 | 1 | 161 | 157 | 0 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 159 | 156 | 0 |
| 12 | Cholet | 2 | 1 | 1 | 170 | 173 | 0 |
| 13 | Gravelines | 2 | 0 | 2 | 162 | 173 | 0 |
| 14 | Boulazac | 2 | 0 | 2 | 154 | 168 | 0 |
| 15 | Nancy | 2 | 0 | 2 | 149 | 163 | 0 |
| 16 | Pau-Orthez | 2 | 0 | 2 | 125 | 167 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nanterre | Gravelines |
|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 78-89 L | 77-89 L |
| Le Mans | 64-55 W | 97-103 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Nanterre (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nanterre
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Roanne France Ligue A |
83-93 | L |
| 26/09 | Pau-Orthez France Ligue A |
78-64 | W |
| 08/06 | Monaco France Ligue A |
78-89 | L |
| 06/06 | Monaco France Ligue A |
61-83 | L |
| 03/06 | Monaco France Ligue A |
98-89 | W |
| 01/06 | Monaco France Ligue A |
88-103 | L |
| 27/05 | Le Mans France Ligue A |
64-55 | W |
| 25/05 | Le Mans France Ligue A |
90-74 | W |
| 16/05 | Cholet France Ligue A |
66-79 | L |
| 09/05 | Gravelines France Ligue A |
85-80 | W |
Gravelines
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A |
65-70 | L |
| 26/09 | Le Mans France Ligue A |
97-103 | L |
| 16/05 | Bourg France Ligue A |
78-95 | L |
| 09/05 | Nanterre France Ligue A |
80-85 | L |
| 01/05 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A |
79-88 | L |
| 18/04 | Le Mans France Ligue A |
83-96 | L |
| 11/04 | Limoges France Ligue A |
64-93 | L |
| 05/04 | Le Portel France Ligue A |
100-78 | W |
| 27/03 | Chalon France Ligue A |
81-86 | L |
| 21/03 | Monaco France Ligue A |
77-89 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nanterre vs Gravelines?
Our model gives 77% to Nanterre.
How many points are expected in Nanterre vs Gravelines?
The model estimates 162.7 total points (Nanterre 86.5 · Gravelines 76.2).