Basketball · France Ligue A · 11/10, 16:00

Prediction: Saint-Quentin vs Le Mans

Team pages: Saint-Quentin · Le Mans

Prediction summary

Estimated points

174.1Total

Saint-Quentin83.4

Le Mans90.7

1X2

30% 70%

Saint-Quentin Le Mans

Recent form · 10 last

Saint-Quentin 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Le Mans 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLLWL

Head-to-head

Saint-Quentin 2–4 Le Mans (6 last)

Saint-Quentin85-88Le Mans
Le Mans90-74Saint-Quentin
Saint-Quentin89-91Le Mans
Le Mans88-85Saint-Quentin
Le Mans69-83Saint-Quentin
Saint-Quentin81-64Le Mans

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saint-Quentin 1456 · Le Mans 1539

	Saint-Quentin	Le Mans
Our model	51%	49%
Market	25%	75%

Estimated total (ours) 174.1 points · Bet365 line 174.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points174.1Saint-Quentin 83.4 · Le Mans 90.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Le Mans (rating 1456 vs 1539).
Le Mans is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours Le Mans: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Saint-Quentin	Le Mans
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83.3 / 85.8	90.3 / 84.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.2 / 87.6	86.8 / 87.6
Est. result	83	91

Est. total174.1

Line O/U174.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.75

21.24

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+8.5)1.83

2 (-8.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 174.51.83

Under 174.51.83

Diff.: 2.5 · Est. total: 172

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.24 → 1.24	Bet365 1.24

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	2
18:00 +15’	3.75	1.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Saint-Quentin 2–0–4 Le Mans

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 France Ligue A	Saint-Quentin	85-88	Le Mans
26/12/25 France Ligue A	Le Mans	90-74	Saint-Quentin
03/05/25 France Ligue A	Saint-Quentin	89-91	Le Mans
15/02/25 France Leaders Cup LNB	Le Mans	88-85	Saint-Quentin
28/09/24 France Ligue A	Le Mans	69-83	Saint-Quentin
03/02/24 France Ligue A	Saint-Quentin	81-64	Le Mans

Standings · France Ligue A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Dijon	2	2	0	170	133
2	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	2	2	0	167	150
3	Roanne	2	2	0	174	162
4	Paris	2	2	0	181	174
5	Bourg	2	1	1	193	183
6	Limoges	2	1	1	166	157
7	Chalon	2	1	1	159	164
8	Saint-Quentin	2	1	1	181	195
9	Le Mans	2	1	1	204	200
10	Nanterre	2	1	1	161	157
11	Strasbourg	2	1	1	159	156
12	Cholet	2	1	1	170	173
13	Gravelines	2	0	2	162	173
14	Boulazac	2	0	2	154	168
15	Nancy	2	0	2	149	163
16	Pau-Orthez	2	0	2	125	167

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Saint-Quentin	Le Mans
Limoges	75-92 L	101-84 W
Nancy	71-84 L	102-74 W
Nanterre	75-80 L	55-64 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Le Mans (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saint-Quentin

LLWLWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Limoges France Ligue A	75-92	L
26/09	Bourg France Ligue A	106-103	W
16/05	Nancy France Ligue A	71-84	L
09/05	Le Mans France Ligue A	85-88	L
03/05	Bourg France Ligue A	89-71	W
18/04	Strasbourg France Ligue A	109-87	W
12/04	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	70-86	L
04/04	Boulazac France Ligue A	88-81	W
28/03	Nanterre France Ligue A	75-80	L
21/03	Chalon France Ligue A	65-86	L

Le Mans

LWWWWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	Paris France Ligue A	101-103	L
26/09	Gravelines France Ligue A	103-97	W
27/05	Nanterre France Ligue A	55-64	L
25/05	Nanterre France Ligue A	74-90	L
16/05	Limoges France Ligue A	101-84	W
09/05	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	88-85	W
30/04	Nancy France Ligue A	102-74	W
18/04	Gravelines France Ligue A	96-83	W
11/04	Le Portel France Ligue A	94-72	W
04/04	Cholet France Ligue A	89-94	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saint-Quentin vs Le Mans?

Our model gives 70% to Le Mans.

How many points are expected in Saint-Quentin vs Le Mans?

The model estimates 174.1 total points (Saint-Quentin 83.4 · Le Mans 90.7).