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Basketball · France Ligue A · 10/10, 18:30

Prediction: Chalon vs Nancy

Team pages: Chalon · Nancy

Prediction summary
Estimated points
170.9Total
Chalon89.9
Nancy80.9
1X2
74% 26%
Chalon Nancy
Recent form · 10 last
Chalon 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LLWWWWWLWL
Nancy 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
WLLWLLWLLL
Head-to-head
Chalon 3–3 Nancy (6 last)
  • Chalon91-75Nancy
  • Nancy102-80Chalon
  • Chalon93-84Nancy
  • Chalon103-73Nancy
  • Nancy96-84Chalon
  • Chalon70-74Nancy
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chalon 1531 · Nancy 1467
ChalonNancy
Our model71%29%
Market75%25%
Estimated total (ours) 170.9 points · Bet365 line 163.5 · +7.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points170.9Chalon 89.9 · Nancy 80.9

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chalon (rating 1531 vs 1467).
  • Chalon is a clear favourite (74% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

ChalonNancy
Points F|A (Last 10)89.7 / 85.981.7 / 83.2
Points F|A (Last 5)84.4 / 86.279.8 / 83.8
Est. result9081
Est. total170.9
Line O/U163.5
Diff.7.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chalon 3–0–3 Nancy

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/05/26
France Ligue A
Chalon91-75Nancy
07/03/26
France Ligue A
Nancy102-80Chalon
26/12/25
France Ligue A
Chalon93-84Nancy
12/04/25
France Ligue A
Chalon103-73Nancy
12/10/24
France Ligue A
Nancy96-84Chalon
23/03/24
France Ligue A
Chalon70-74Nancy

Standings · France Ligue A

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Dijon 220 1701330
2 Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 220 1671500
3 Roanne 220 1741620
4 Paris 220 1811740
5 Bourg 211 1931830
6 Limoges 211 1661570
7 Chalon 211 1591640
8 Saint-Quentin 211 1811950
9 Le Mans 211 2042000
10 Nanterre 211 1611570
11 Strasbourg 211 1591560
12 Cholet 211 1701730
13 Gravelines 202 1621730
14 Boulazac 202 1541680
15 Nancy 202 1491630
16 Pau-Orthez 202 1251670

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChalonNancy
Limoges 82-74 W 95-89 W
Strasbourg 81-102 L 82-86 L
Le Portel 93-58 W 95-50 W
Paris 105-103 W 73-78 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chalon

LLWWWWWLWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
03/10 Bourg
France Ligue A
 77-90 L
26/09 Limoges
France Ligue A
 82-74 W
23/05 Strasbourg
France Ligue A
 81-102 L
20/05 Nancy
France Ligue A
 91-75 W
16/05 Strasbourg
France Ligue A
 91-90 W
09/05 Le Portel
France Ligue A
 93-58 W
02/05 Paris
France Ligue A
 105-103 W
18/04 Bourg
France Ligue A
 100-84 W
11/04 Boulazac
France Ligue A
 90-94 L
05/04 Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
France Ligue A
 87-89 L

Nancy

WLLWLLWLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
03/10 Cholet
France Ligue A
 76-85 L
27/09 Paris
France Ligue A
 73-78 L
20/05 Chalon
France Ligue A
 75-91 L
16/05 Saint-Quentin
France Ligue A
 84-71 W
10/05 Cholet
France Ligue A
 91-94 L
30/04 Le Mans
France Ligue A
 74-102 L
18/04 Le Portel
France Ligue A
 95-50 W
10/04 Nanterre
France Ligue A
 72-86 L
03/04 Strasbourg
France Ligue A
 82-86 L
28/03 Limoges
France Ligue A
 95-89 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chalon vs Nancy?

Our model gives 74% to Chalon.

How many points are expected in Chalon vs Nancy?

The model estimates 170.9 total points (Chalon 89.9 · Nancy 80.9).