Basketball · France Ligue A · 10/10, 20:30

Prediction: Boulazac vs Bourg

Team pages: Boulazac · Bourg

Prediction summary

Estimated points

168.9Total

Boulazac82.5

Bourg86.4

1X2

39% 61%

Boulazac Bourg

Recent form · 10 last

Boulazac 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLLWLL

Bourg 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWLLLW

Head-to-head

Boulazac 0–6 Bourg (6 last)

Bourg73-70Boulazac
Boulazac68-82Bourg
Bourg94-73Boulazac
Bourg92-86Boulazac
Boulazac68-81Bourg
Bourg96-72Boulazac

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boulazac 1426 · Bourg 1449

	Boulazac	Bourg
Our model	60%	40%
Market	34%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 168.9 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · +1.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points168.9Boulazac 82.5 · Bourg 86.4

Match keys

H2H favours Bourg: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Boulazac	Bourg
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83.5 / 86.4	87.2 / 90.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.2 / 79.8	92.4 / 89.8
Est. result	83	86

Est. total168.9

Line O/U167.5

Diff.1.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.72

21.41

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.83

2 (-5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 167.51.83

Under 167.51.83

Diff.: 6.45 · Est. total: 173.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.72 → 2.72	Bet365 2.72
2	1.41 → 1.41	Bet365 1.41

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	2
17:59 +13’	2.72	1.41

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Boulazac 0–0–6 Bourg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/02/26 France Ligue A	Bourg	73-70	Boulazac
08/11/25 France Ligue A	Boulazac	68-82	Bourg
26/08/23 Club Friendlies	Bourg	94-73	Boulazac
14/05/21 France Ligue A	Bourg	92-86	Boulazac
13/04/21 France Ligue A	Boulazac	68-81	Bourg
27/12/19 France Ligue A	Bourg	96-72	Boulazac

Standings · France Ligue A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Dijon	2	2	0	170	133
2	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	2	2	0	167	150
3	Roanne	2	2	0	174	162
4	Paris	2	2	0	181	174
5	Bourg	2	1	1	193	183
6	Limoges	2	1	1	166	157
7	Chalon	2	1	1	159	164
8	Saint-Quentin	2	1	1	181	195
9	Le Mans	2	1	1	204	200
10	Nanterre	2	1	1	161	157
11	Strasbourg	2	1	1	159	156
12	Cholet	2	1	1	170	173
13	Gravelines	2	0	2	162	173
14	Boulazac	2	0	2	154	168
15	Nancy	2	0	2	149	163
16	Pau-Orthez	2	0	2	125	167

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Boulazac	Bourg
Strasbourg	75-87 L	91-71 W
Monaco	92-74 W	103-114 L
Dijon	85-103 L	83-101 L
Chalon	94-90 W	90-77 W
Saint-Quentin	81-88 L	103-106 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bourg (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boulazac

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Strasbourg France Ligue A	75-87	L
26/09	Roanne France Ligue A	79-81	L
16/05	Monaco France Ligue A	92-74	W
07/05	Limoges France Ligue A	72-80	L
02/05	Cholet France Ligue A	68-77	L
17/04	Dijon France Ligue A	85-103	L
11/04	Chalon France Ligue A	94-90	W
04/04	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	81-88	L
29/03	Strasbourg France Ligue A	95-76	W
21/03	Le Mans France Ligue A	94-108	L

Bourg

LLLLWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Chalon France Ligue A	90-77	W
26/09	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	103-106	L
27/05	Monaco France Ligue A	103-114	L
25/05	Monaco France Ligue A	75-81	L
20/05	Strasbourg France Ligue A	91-71	W
16/05	Gravelines France Ligue A	95-78	W
09/05	Dijon France Ligue A	83-101	L
05/05	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	77-91	L
03/05	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	71-89	L
18/04	Chalon France Ligue A	84-100	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boulazac vs Bourg?

Our model gives 61% to Bourg.

How many points are expected in Boulazac vs Bourg?

The model estimates 168.9 total points (Boulazac 82.5 · Bourg 86.4).