Basketball · France Ligue A · 09/10, 20:00

Prediction: Dijon vs Limoges

Team pages: Dijon · Limoges

Prediction summary

Estimated points

175.2Total

Dijon91.5

Limoges83.7

1X2

71% 29%

Dijon Limoges

Markets

Over 160.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Dijon 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLWWWW

Limoges 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Dijon 2–4 Limoges (6 last)

Dijon86-101Limoges
Limoges80-76Dijon
Dijon89-83Limoges
Limoges87-73Dijon
Limoges93-77Dijon
Dijon90-60Limoges

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dijon 1522 · Limoges 1503

	Dijon	Limoges
Our model	65%	35%
Market	72%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 175.2 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · +14.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points175.2Dijon 91.5 · Limoges 83.7

Over / Under 160.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~169.7 pts · strength 9

Match keys

Dijon is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours Limoges: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Dijon	Limoges
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.8 / 87.5	85.8 / 83.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	93.2 / 76.6	87 / 82.6
Est. result	92	84

Est. total175.2

Line O/U160.5

Diff.14.7

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.28

23.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.83

2 (+7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 160.51.83

Under 160.51.83

Diff.: 13.2 · Est. total: 173.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
2	3.35 → 3.35	Bet365 3.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7%

Time*	1	2
17:17 +43’	1.28	3.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dijon 2–0–4 Limoges

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 France Ligue A	Dijon	86-101	Limoges
04/10/25 France Ligue A	Limoges	80-76	Dijon
10/05/25 France Ligue A	Dijon	89-83	Limoges
05/10/24 France Ligue A	Limoges	87-73	Dijon
10/02/24 France Ligue A	Limoges	93-77	Dijon
16/12/23 France Ligue A	Dijon	90-60	Limoges

Standings · France Ligue A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Dijon	2	2	0	170	133
2	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	2	2	0	167	150
3	Roanne	2	2	0	174	162
4	Paris	2	2	0	181	174
5	Bourg	2	1	1	193	183
6	Limoges	2	1	1	166	157
7	Chalon	2	1	1	159	164
8	Saint-Quentin	2	1	1	181	195
9	Le Mans	2	1	1	204	200
10	Nanterre	2	1	1	161	157
11	Strasbourg	2	1	1	159	156
12	Cholet	2	1	1	170	173
13	Gravelines	2	0	2	162	173
14	Boulazac	2	0	2	154	168
15	Nancy	2	0	2	149	163
16	Pau-Orthez	2	0	2	125	167

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dijon	Limoges
Le Portel	126-80 W	105-83 W
Bourg	101-83 W	71-92 L
Nanterre	69-87 L	97-79 W
Boulazac	103-85 W	80-72 W
Nancy	94-96 L	89-95 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Dijon (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dijon

LLLLWLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Pau-Orthez France Ligue A	89-61	W
25/09	Strasbourg France Ligue A	81-72	W
16/05	Le Portel France Ligue A	126-80	W
09/05	Bourg France Ligue A	101-83	W
02/05	Nanterre France Ligue A	69-87	L
17/04	Boulazac France Ligue A	103-85	W
11/04	Cholet France Ligue A	74-111	L
05/04	Monaco France Ligue A	95-108	L
27/03	Paris France Ligue A	76-92	L
20/03	Nancy France Ligue A	94-96	L

Limoges

LLWLWWWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	92-75	W
26/09	Chalon France Ligue A	74-82	L
16/05	Le Mans France Ligue A	84-101	L
07/05	Boulazac France Ligue A	80-72	W
02/05	Le Portel France Ligue A	105-83	W
19/04	Nanterre France Ligue A	97-79	W
15/04	Bourg France Ligue A	71-92	L
11/04	Gravelines France Ligue A	93-64	W
28/03	Nancy France Ligue A	89-95	L
22/03	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	73-90	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dijon vs Limoges?

Our model gives 71% to Dijon.

How many points are expected in Dijon vs Limoges?

The model estimates 175.2 total points (Dijon 91.5 · Limoges 83.7).

Over or under 160.5 points?

Recent history points to over 160.5 points (65%).