Basketball · France Ligue A · 03/10, 18:00

Prediction: Nancy vs Cholet

Team pages: Nancy · Cholet

Prediction summary
Estimated points
169Total
Nancy85.5
Cholet83.4
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
56% 44%
Nancy Cholet

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Nancy 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
WWLLWLLWLL
Cholet 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WWLWWWLLLL
Head-to-head
Nancy 2–4 Cholet (6 last)
  • Cholet94-91Nancy
  • Nancy91-87Cholet
  • Cholet95-74Nancy
  • Nancy71-78Cholet
  • Nancy77-85Cholet
  • Cholet67-76Nancy
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nancy 1484 · Cholet 1539
NancyCholet
Our model55%45%
Market56%44%
Estimated total (ours) 169 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points169Nancy 85.5 · Cholet 83.4

Match keys

  • H2H favours Cholet: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

NancyCholet
Points F|A (Last 10)83.7 / 84.182.6 / 84.7
Points F|A (Last 5)79.4 / 87.285.8 / 95
Est. result8683
Est. total169
Line O/U168.5
Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nancy 2–0–4 Cholet

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
France Ligue A
Cholet94-91Nancy
07/11/25
France Ligue A
Nancy91-87Cholet
10/05/25
France Ligue A
Cholet95-74Nancy
11/01/25
France Ligue A
Nancy71-78Cholet
30/03/24
France Ligue A
Nancy77-85Cholet
15/11/23
France Ligue A
Cholet67-76Nancy

Standings · France Ligue A

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Nanterre 110 78640
2 Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 110 97850
3 Dijon 110 81720
4 Chalon 110 82740
5 Le Mans 110 103970
6 Paris 110 78730
7 Saint-Quentin 110 1061030
8 Roanne 110 81790
9 Boulazac 101 79810
10 Bourg 101 1031060
11 Nancy 101 73780
12 Gravelines 101 971030
13 Limoges 101 74820
14 Strasbourg 101 72810
15 Cholet 101 85970
16 Pau-Orthez 101 64780

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNancyCholet
Paris 73-78 L 91-94 L
Nanterre 72-86 L 79-66 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cholet (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nancy

WWLLWLLWLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
27/09 Paris
France Ligue A
73-78 L
20/05 Chalon
France Ligue A
75-91 L
16/05 Saint-Quentin
France Ligue A
84-71 W
10/05 Cholet
France Ligue A
91-94 L
30/04 Le Mans
France Ligue A
74-102 L
18/04 Le Portel
France Ligue A
95-50 W
10/04 Nanterre
France Ligue A
72-86 L
03/04 Strasbourg
France Ligue A
82-86 L
28/03 Limoges
France Ligue A
95-89 W
20/03 Dijon
France Ligue A
96-94 W

Cholet

WWLWWWLLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
27/09 Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
France Ligue A
85-97 L
09/06 Paris
France Ligue A
91-94 L
07/06 Paris
France Ligue A
86-95 L
04/06 Paris
France Ligue A
77-100 L
02/06 Paris
France Ligue A
90-89 W
30/05 Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
France Ligue A
80-75 W
28/05 Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
France Ligue A
77-65 W
26/05 Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
France Ligue A
67-75 L
16/05 Nanterre
France Ligue A
79-66 W
10/05 Nancy
France Ligue A
94-91 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nancy vs Cholet?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Nancy 56% · Cholet 44%).

How many points are expected in Nancy vs Cholet?

The model estimates 169 total points (Nancy 85.5 · Cholet 83.4).