Prediction: Nancy vs Cholet
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
- Cholet94-91Nancy
- Nancy91-87Cholet
- Cholet95-74Nancy
- Nancy71-78Cholet
- Nancy77-85Cholet
- Cholet67-76Nancy
| Nancy | Cholet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Cholet: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Nancy | Cholet | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.7 / 84.1 | 82.6 / 84.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.4 / 87.2 | 85.8 / 95 |
| Est. result | 86 | 83 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nancy 2–0–4 Cholet
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 France Ligue A | Cholet | 94-91 | Nancy |
| 07/11/25 France Ligue A | Nancy | 91-87 | Cholet |
| 10/05/25 France Ligue A | Cholet | 95-74 | Nancy |
| 11/01/25 France Ligue A | Nancy | 71-78 | Cholet |
| 30/03/24 France Ligue A | Nancy | 77-85 | Cholet |
| 15/11/23 France Ligue A | Cholet | 67-76 | Nancy |
Standings · France Ligue A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nanterre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 78 | 64 | 0 |
| 2 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 97 | 85 | 0 |
| 3 | Dijon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 81 | 72 | 0 |
| 4 | Chalon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 82 | 74 | 0 |
| 5 | Le Mans | 1 | 1 | 0 | 103 | 97 | 0 |
| 6 | Paris | 1 | 1 | 0 | 78 | 73 | 0 |
| 7 | Saint-Quentin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 106 | 103 | 0 |
| 8 | Roanne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 81 | 79 | 0 |
| 9 | Boulazac | 1 | 0 | 1 | 79 | 81 | 0 |
| 10 | Bourg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 103 | 106 | 0 |
| 11 | Nancy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 78 | 0 |
| 12 | Gravelines | 1 | 0 | 1 | 97 | 103 | 0 |
| 13 | Limoges | 1 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 82 | 0 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 72 | 81 | 0 |
| 15 | Cholet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 85 | 97 | 0 |
| 16 | Pau-Orthez | 1 | 0 | 1 | 64 | 78 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nancy | Cholet |
|---|---|---|
| Paris | 73-78 L | 91-94 L |
| Nanterre | 72-86 L | 79-66 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cholet (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nancy
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Paris France Ligue A |
73-78 | L |
| 20/05 | Chalon France Ligue A |
75-91 | L |
| 16/05 | Saint-Quentin France Ligue A |
84-71 | W |
| 10/05 | Cholet France Ligue A |
91-94 | L |
| 30/04 | Le Mans France Ligue A |
74-102 | L |
| 18/04 | Le Portel France Ligue A |
95-50 | W |
| 10/04 | Nanterre France Ligue A |
72-86 | L |
| 03/04 | Strasbourg France Ligue A |
82-86 | L |
| 28/03 | Limoges France Ligue A |
95-89 | W |
| 20/03 | Dijon France Ligue A |
96-94 | W |
Cholet
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A |
85-97 | L |
| 09/06 | Paris France Ligue A |
91-94 | L |
| 07/06 | Paris France Ligue A |
86-95 | L |
| 04/06 | Paris France Ligue A |
77-100 | L |
| 02/06 | Paris France Ligue A |
90-89 | W |
| 30/05 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A |
80-75 | W |
| 28/05 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A |
77-65 | W |
| 26/05 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A |
67-75 | L |
| 16/05 | Nanterre France Ligue A |
79-66 | W |
| 10/05 | Nancy France Ligue A |
94-91 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nancy vs Cholet?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Nancy 56% · Cholet 44%).
How many points are expected in Nancy vs Cholet?
The model estimates 169 total points (Nancy 85.5 · Cholet 83.4).

