Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 27/09, 18:00
Prediction: Valencia vs Forca Lleida
Team pages: Valencia
Prediction summary
Estimated points
187.3Total
Valencia100.9
Forca Lleida86.4
1X2
Valencia
Forca Lleida
Recent form · 10 last
Valencia
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Forca Lleida
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Valencia
4–0
Forca Lleida
(4 last)
- Valencia101-65Forca Lleida
- Forca Lleida78-99Valencia
- Forca Lleida67-76Valencia
- Valencia107-92Forca Lleida
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valencia 1652 · Forca Lleida 1495
| Valencia | Forca Lleida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 81% | 19% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
187.3 points · Bet365 line 180.5 · +6.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points187.3Valencia 100.9 · Forca Lleida 86.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valencia (rating 1652 vs 1495).
- Valencia is a clear favourite (85% market).
- H2H favours Valencia: 4-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Valencia | Forca Lleida | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 97.8 / 84.8 | 88.2 / 97.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 99.4 / 85.4 | 87 / 99.8 |
| Est. result | 101 | 86 |
Est. total187.3
Line O/U180.5
Diff.6.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valencia 4–0–0 Forca Lleida
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Spain Liga ACB | Valencia | 101-65 | Forca Lleida |
| 19/10/25 Spain Liga ACB | Forca Lleida | 78-99 | Valencia |
| 20/04/25 Spain Liga ACB | Forca Lleida | 67-76 | Valencia |
| 30/12/24 Spain Liga ACB | Valencia | 107-92 | Forca Lleida |
Standings · Spain Liga ACB
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Baskonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Girona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Manresa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | BC Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tenerife | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Breogan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Coruna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Unicaja Malaga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | San Pablo Burgos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Joventut | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Forca Lleida | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Monbus Obradoiro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UCAM Murcia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valencia | Forca Lleida |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 108-84 W | 90-80 W |
| Bilbao | 88-71 W | 90-81 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Valencia (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valencia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
108-84 | W |
| 22/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
88-80 | W |
| 20/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
102-75 | W |
| 18/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
112-113 | L |
| 14/06 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
87-75 | W |
| 12/06 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
90-76 | W |
| 10/06 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
118-117 | W |
| 05/06 | Bilbao Spain Liga ACB |
88-71 | W |
| 03/06 | Bilbao Spain Liga ACB |
83-80 | W |
| 31/05 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
102-77 | W |
Forca Lleida
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05 | UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB |
95-116 | L |
| 24/05 | BC Andorra Spain Liga ACB |
88-116 | L |
| 17/05 | Gran Canaria Spain Liga ACB |
75-72 | W |
| 13/05 | Breogan Spain Liga ACB |
87-114 | L |
| 10/05 | Bilbao Spain Liga ACB |
90-81 | W |
| 02/05 | San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB |
91-99 | L |
| 25/04 | Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB |
72-91 | L |
| 19/04 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
90-80 | W |
| 11/04 | Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB |
91-107 | L |
| 05/04 | Tenerife Spain Liga ACB |
103-101 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valencia vs Forca Lleida?
Our model gives 85% to Valencia.
How many points are expected in Valencia vs Forca Lleida?
The model estimates 187.3 total points (Valencia 100.9 · Forca Lleida 86.4).