Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 03/10, 21:00

Prediction: Manresa vs Breogan

Team pages: Manresa · Breogan

Prediction summary

Estimated points

190.7Total

Manresa97.3

Breogan93.4

1X2

61% 39%

Manresa Breogan

Recent form · 10 last

Manresa 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Breogan 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Manresa 4–2 Breogan (6 last)

Breogan91-78Manresa
Manresa104-99Breogan
Manresa93-104Breogan
Breogan79-88Manresa
Manresa83-68Breogan
Breogan85-89Manresa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manresa 1529 · Breogan 1559

	Manresa	Breogan
Our model	59%	41%
Market	62%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 190.7 points · Bet365 line 182.5 · +8.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points190.7Manresa 97.3 · Breogan 93.4

Match keys

H2H favours Manresa: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Manresa	Breogan
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.6 / 89.5	97 / 95.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	90.6 / 86.2	99.2 / 92.6
Est. result	97	93

Est. total190.7

Line O/U182.5

Diff.8.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.53

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4)1.87

2 (+4)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 182.51.87

Under 182.51.87

Diff.: 4.1 · Est. total: 186.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.5%

Time*	1	2
18:55 +2’	1.53	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Manresa 4–0–2 Breogan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Spain Liga ACB	Breogan	91-78	Manresa
10/01/26 Spain Liga ACB	Manresa	104-99	Breogan
03/05/25 Spain Liga ACB	Manresa	93-104	Breogan
02/01/25 Spain Liga ACB	Breogan	79-88	Manresa
27/01/24 Spain Liga ACB	Manresa	83-68	Breogan
01/10/23 Spain Liga ACB	Breogan	85-89	Manresa

Standings · Spain Liga ACB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	119	101
2	Bilbao	1	1	0	107	92
3	Girona	1	1	0	84	77
4	Breogan	1	1	0	110	104
5	Forca Lleida	1	1	0	105	100
6	Monbus Obradoiro	1	1	0	90	85
7	Real Madrid	1	1	0	89	87
8	Baskonia	1	1	0	98	97
9	Zaragoza	1	1	0	81	80
10	San Pablo Burgos	1	0	1	97	98
11	Tenerife	1	0	1	80	81
12	Unicaja Malaga	1	0	1	87	89
13	Valencia	1	0	1	100	105
14	BC Andorra	1	0	1	85	90
15	Joventut	1	0	1	104	110
16	UCAM Murcia	1	0	1	77	84
17	Manresa	1	0	1	92	107
18	Coruna	1	0	1	101	119

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Manresa	Breogan
Real Madrid	94-87 W	101-97 W
Zaragoza	101-83 W	94-95 L
Girona	79-74 W	95-76 W
BC Andorra	94-104 L	97-99 L
San Pablo Burgos	94-101 L	99-94 W
Joventut	87-77 W	110-104 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manresa

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	Bilbao Spain Liga ACB	92-107	L
29/05	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	94-87	W
23/05	Gran Canaria Spain Liga ACB	87-80	W
16/05	Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB	101-83	W
12/05	Girona Spain Liga ACB	79-74	W
10/05	BC Andorra Spain Liga ACB	94-104	L
03/05	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	104-102	W
26/04	San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB	94-101	L
18/04	Bilbao Spain Liga ACB	84-80	W
12/04	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	87-77	W

Breogan

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	110-104	W
29/05	Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB	94-95	L
23/05	Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB	83-101	L
16/05	Girona Spain Liga ACB	95-76	W
13/05	Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB	114-87	W
10/05	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	101-97	W
03/05	Baskonia Spain Liga ACB	84-112	L
26/04	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	93-86	W
19/04	San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB	99-94	W
11/04	BC Andorra Spain Liga ACB	97-99	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manresa vs Breogan?

Our model gives 61% to Manresa.

How many points are expected in Manresa vs Breogan?

The model estimates 190.7 total points (Manresa 97.3 · Breogan 93.4).