Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 03/10, 19:30

Prediction: Unicaja Malaga vs Tenerife

Team pages: Unicaja Malaga · Tenerife

Prediction summary

Estimated points

178.5Total

Unicaja Malaga92.1

Tenerife86.3

1X2

66% 34%

Unicaja Malaga Tenerife

Recent form · 10 last

Unicaja Malaga 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLWLLL

Tenerife 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Unicaja Malaga 4–2 Tenerife (6 last)

Unicaja Malaga80-76Tenerife
Unicaja Malaga85-80Tenerife
Unicaja Malaga70-95Tenerife
Tenerife95-79Unicaja Malaga
Tenerife78-91Unicaja Malaga
Unicaja Malaga90-83Tenerife

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Unicaja Malaga 1449 · Tenerife 1457

	Unicaja Malaga	Tenerife
Our model	62%	38%
Market	67%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 178.5 points · Bet365 line 173.5 · +5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points178.5Unicaja Malaga 92.1 · Tenerife 86.3

Match keys

Unicaja Malaga is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours Unicaja Malaga: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Unicaja Malaga	Tenerife
Points F\|A (Last 10)	86.1 / 89.5	88.9 / 95.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84 / 89.2	83.8 / 91.6
Est. result	92	86

Est. total178.5

Line O/U173.5

Diff.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.42

22.82

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.87

2 (+5.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 173.51.87

Under 173.51.87

Diff.: 6.55 · Est. total: 180.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
2	2.82 → 2.82	Bet365 2.82

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.1%

Time*	1	2
18:50 +5’	1.42	2.82

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Unicaja Malaga 4–0–2 Tenerife

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/09/26 Club Friendlies	Unicaja Malaga	80-76	Tenerife
09/05/26 Basketball Champions League	Unicaja Malaga	85-80	Tenerife
21/03/26 Spain Liga ACB	Unicaja Malaga	70-95	Tenerife
25/10/25 Spain Liga ACB	Tenerife	95-79	Unicaja Malaga
01/05/25 Spain Liga ACB	Tenerife	78-91	Unicaja Malaga
15/02/25 Spain Copa del Rey	Unicaja Malaga	90-83	Tenerife

Standings · Spain Liga ACB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	119	101
2	Bilbao	1	1	0	107	92
3	Girona	1	1	0	84	77
4	Breogan	1	1	0	110	104
5	Forca Lleida	1	1	0	105	100
6	Monbus Obradoiro	1	1	0	90	85
7	Real Madrid	1	1	0	89	87
8	Baskonia	1	1	0	98	97
9	Zaragoza	1	1	0	81	80
10	San Pablo Burgos	1	0	1	97	98
11	Tenerife	1	0	1	80	81
12	Unicaja Malaga	1	0	1	87	89
13	Valencia	1	0	1	100	105
14	BC Andorra	1	0	1	85	90
15	Joventut	1	0	1	104	110
16	UCAM Murcia	1	0	1	77	84
17	Manresa	1	0	1	92	107
18	Coruna	1	0	1	101	119

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Unicaja Malaga	Tenerife
Real Madrid	87-89 L	107-95 W
Joventut	74-95 L	98-100 L
Granada	71-83 L	109-96 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tenerife (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Unicaja Malaga

LLWLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	87-89	L
29/05	Baskonia Spain Liga ACB	89-92	L
26/05	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	74-95	L
23/05	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	101-83	W
17/05	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	69-87	L
14/05	San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB	90-97	L
29/04	Gran Canaria Spain Liga ACB	100-101	L
25/04	Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB	91-72	W
19/04	Granada Spain Liga ACB	71-83	L
12/04	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	89-96	L

Tenerife

LWLWLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB	80-81	L
13/06	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	76-85	L
11/06	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	89-97	L
09/06	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	67-100	L
06/06	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	107-95	W
04/06	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	83-118	L
02/06	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	98-97	W
29/05	Bilbao Spain Liga ACB	82-87	L
23/05	Granada Spain Liga ACB	109-96	W
20/05	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	98-100	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Unicaja Malaga vs Tenerife?

Our model gives 66% to Unicaja Malaga.

How many points are expected in Unicaja Malaga vs Tenerife?

The model estimates 178.5 total points (Unicaja Malaga 92.1 · Tenerife 86.3).