Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 11/10, 19:00
Prediction: Barcelona vs Valencia
Team pages: Barcelona · Valencia
Prediction summary
Estimated points
183.6Total
Barcelona93.6
Valencia90
1X2
Barcelona
Valencia
Recent form · 10 last
Barcelona
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Valencia
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Barcelona
2–4
Valencia
(6 last)
- Valencia86-87Barcelona
- Barcelona84-108Valencia
- Barcelona80-88Valencia
- Valencia102-75Barcelona
- Valencia112-113Barcelona
- Barcelona77-102Valencia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barcelona 1601 · Valencia 1642
| Barcelona | Valencia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
183.6 points · Bet365 line 175.5 · +8.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points183.6Barcelona 93.6 · Valencia 90
Match keys
- H2H favours Valencia: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Barcelona | Valencia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 94.7 / 91.9 | 99 / 87.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 90.4 / 99.8 | 99 / 85.2 |
| Est. result | 94 | 90 |
Est. total183.6
Line O/U175.5
Diff.8.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barcelona 2–0–4 Valencia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 Spain ACB Supercopa | Valencia | 86-87 | Barcelona |
| 24/06/26 Spain Liga ACB | Barcelona | 84-108 | Valencia |
| 22/06/26 Spain Liga ACB | Barcelona | 80-88 | Valencia |
| 20/06/26 Spain Liga ACB | Valencia | 102-75 | Barcelona |
| 18/06/26 Spain Liga ACB | Valencia | 112-113 | Barcelona |
| 31/05/26 Spain Liga ACB | Barcelona | 77-102 | Valencia |
Standings · Spain Liga ACB
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baskonia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 216 | 175 | 0 |
| 2 | Breogan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 211 | 199 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 203 | 194 | 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 201 | 0 |
| 5 | Bilbao | 2 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 196 | 0 |
| 6 | San Pablo Burgos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 191 | 179 | 0 |
| 7 | Valencia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 197 | 187 | 0 |
| 8 | Tenerife | 2 | 1 | 1 | 160 | 156 | 0 |
| 9 | UCAM Murcia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 177 | 178 | 0 |
| 10 | Monbus Obradoiro | 2 | 1 | 1 | 197 | 199 | 0 |
| 11 | Forca Lleida | 2 | 1 | 1 | 186 | 194 | 0 |
| 12 | Zaragoza | 2 | 1 | 1 | 163 | 177 | 0 |
| 13 | Coruna | 2 | 1 | 1 | 205 | 220 | 0 |
| 14 | Girona | 2 | 1 | 1 | 162 | 195 | 0 |
| 15 | BC Andorra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 85 | 90 | 0 |
| 16 | Joventut | 1 | 0 | 1 | 104 | 110 | 0 |
| 17 | Unicaja Malaga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 162 | 169 | 0 |
| 18 | Manresa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 187 | 208 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barcelona
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB |
94-100 | L |
| 26/09 | Coruna Spain Liga ACB |
119-101 | W |
| 24/06 | Valencia Spain Liga ACB |
84-108 | L |
| 22/06 | Valencia Spain Liga ACB |
80-88 | L |
| 20/06 | Valencia Spain Liga ACB |
75-102 | L |
| 18/06 | Valencia Spain Liga ACB |
113-112 | W |
| 13/06 | Tenerife Spain Liga ACB |
85-76 | W |
| 11/06 | Tenerife Spain Liga ACB |
97-89 | W |
| 09/06 | Tenerife Spain Liga ACB |
100-67 | W |
| 06/06 | UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB |
100-76 | W |
Valencia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB |
97-82 | W |
| 27/09 | Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB |
100-105 | L |
| 24/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
108-84 | W |
| 22/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
88-80 | W |
| 20/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
102-75 | W |
| 18/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
112-113 | L |
| 14/06 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
87-75 | W |
| 12/06 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
90-76 | W |
| 10/06 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
118-117 | W |
| 05/06 | Bilbao Spain Liga ACB |
88-71 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barcelona vs Valencia?
Our model gives 60% to Barcelona.
How many points are expected in Barcelona vs Valencia?
The model estimates 183.6 total points (Barcelona 93.6 · Valencia 90).