Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 17/10, 19:30

Prediction: BC Andorra vs Breogan

Team pages: BC Andorra · Breogan

Prediction summary

Estimated points

192.3Total

BC Andorra96.7

Breogan95.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

53% 47%

BC Andorra Breogan

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

BC Andorra 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Breogan 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

BC Andorra 1–5 Breogan (6 last)

Breogan97-99BC Andorra
BC Andorra101-104Breogan
Breogan94-74BC Andorra
BC Andorra93-101Breogan
Breogan97-92BC Andorra
BC Andorra63-69Breogan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BC Andorra 1410 · Breogan 1578

	BC Andorra	Breogan
Our model	39%	61%
Market	57%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 192.3 points · Bet365 line 182.5 · +9.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points192.3BC Andorra 96.7 · Breogan 95.6

Match keys

H2H favours Breogan: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BC Andorra	Breogan
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.1 / 92.3	99 / 94.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	92.6 / 91	100.6 / 97.4
Est. result	97	96

Est. total192.3

Line O/U182.5

Diff.9.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.67

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.87

2 (+2.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 182.51.87

Under 182.51.87

Diff.: 5.95 · Est. total: 188.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.5%

Time*	1	2
21:55 +5’	1.67	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · BC Andorra 1–0–5 Breogan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Spain Liga ACB	Breogan	97-99	BC Andorra
17/01/26 Spain Liga ACB	BC Andorra	101-104	Breogan
08/03/25 Spain Liga ACB	Breogan	94-74	BC Andorra
04/01/25 Spain Liga ACB	BC Andorra	93-101	Breogan
10/05/24 Spain Liga ACB	Breogan	97-92	BC Andorra
29/09/23 Spain Liga ACB	BC Andorra	63-69	Breogan

Standings · Spain Liga ACB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Baskonia	3	3	0	309	248
2	Real Madrid	3	3	0	323	277
3	Breogan	3	3	0	326	291
4	Bilbao	3	2	1	304	283
5	Tenerife	3	2	1	250	233
6	Barcelona	3	2	1	302	287
7	Zaragoza	3	2	1	255	248
8	Monbus Obradoiro	3	2	1	288	288
9	Valencia	3	1	2	283	276
10	San Pablo Burgos	3	1	2	278	275
11	Unicaja Malaga	3	1	2	254	253
12	Forca Lleida	3	1	2	275	285
13	UCAM Murcia	3	1	2	254	268
14	Coruna	3	1	2	276	312
15	Girona	3	1	2	254	310
16	BC Andorra	2	0	2	169	182
17	Joventut	2	0	2	177	203
18	Manresa	3	0	3	270	328

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BC Andorra	Breogan
Unicaja Malaga	84-92 L	83-101 L
Forca Lleida	116-88 W	114-87 W
Joventut	79-101 L	110-104 W
Manresa	104-94 W	101-95 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: BC Andorra (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BC Andorra

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB	84-92	L
26/09	Monbus Obradoiro Spain Liga ACB	85-90	L
29/05	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	95-100	L
24/05	Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB	116-88	W
17/05	San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB	83-85	L
14/05	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	79-101	L
10/05	Manresa Spain Liga ACB	104-94	W
02/05	Tenerife Spain Liga ACB	90-89	W
26/04	Granada Spain Liga ACB	86-89	L
18/04	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	89-95	L

Breogan

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Girona Spain Liga ACB	115-92	W
03/10	Manresa Spain Liga ACB	101-95	W
27/09	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	110-104	W
29/05	Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB	94-95	L
23/05	Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB	83-101	L
16/05	Girona Spain Liga ACB	95-76	W
13/05	Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB	114-87	W
10/05	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	101-97	W
03/05	Baskonia Spain Liga ACB	84-112	L
26/04	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	93-86	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BC Andorra vs Breogan?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (BC Andorra 53% · Breogan 47%).

How many points are expected in BC Andorra vs Breogan?

The model estimates 192.3 total points (BC Andorra 96.7 · Breogan 95.6).