Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 25/10, 17:00
Prediction: Valencia vs Baskonia
Team pages: Valencia · Baskonia
Prediction summary
Estimated points
182.7Total
Valencia95.8
Baskonia86.8
1X2
Valencia
Baskonia
Recent form · 10 last
Valencia
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Baskonia
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Valencia
5–1
Baskonia
(6 last)
- Valencia111-88Baskonia
- Valencia86-88Baskonia
- Baskonia79-108Valencia
- Valencia91-81Baskonia
- Baskonia89-91Valencia
- Baskonia84-99Valencia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valencia 1622 · Baskonia 1491
| Valencia | Baskonia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 22% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
182.7 points · Bet365 line 182.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points182.7Valencia 95.8 · Baskonia 86.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valencia (rating 1622 vs 1491).
- Valencia is a clear favourite (74% market).
- H2H favours Valencia: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Valencia | Baskonia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 98.6 / 87.2 | 92.3 / 83.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 101.4 / 90.6 | 94.8 / 85.2 |
| Est. result | 96 | 87 |
Est. total182.7
Line O/U182.5
Diff.0.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valencia 5–0–1 Baskonia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/26 Euroleague | Valencia | 111-88 | Baskonia |
| 10/05/26 Spain Liga ACB | Valencia | 86-88 | Baskonia |
| 26/02/26 Euroleague | Baskonia | 79-108 | Valencia |
| 23/12/25 Euroleague | Valencia | 91-81 | Baskonia |
| 07/12/25 Spain Liga ACB | Baskonia | 89-91 | Valencia |
| 19/09/25 Club Friendlies | Baskonia | 84-99 | Valencia |
Standings · Spain Liga ACB
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 4 | 4 | 0 | 442 | 361 | 0 |
| 2 | Baskonia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 386 | 330 | 0 |
| 3 | Breogan | 4 | 3 | 1 | 428 | 399 | 0 |
| 4 | Tenerife | 4 | 3 | 1 | 332 | 310 | 0 |
| 5 | Zaragoza | 4 | 3 | 1 | 364 | 346 | 0 |
| 6 | Monbus Obradoiro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 367 | 360 | 0 |
| 7 | Valencia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 399 | 369 | 0 |
| 8 | Joventut | 4 | 2 | 2 | 386 | 367 | 0 |
| 9 | Unicaja Malaga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 338 | 325 | 0 |
| 10 | Barcelona | 4 | 2 | 2 | 391 | 400 | 0 |
| 11 | Bilbao | 4 | 2 | 2 | 388 | 402 | 0 |
| 12 | Girona | 4 | 2 | 2 | 364 | 400 | 0 |
| 13 | San Pablo Burgos | 4 | 1 | 3 | 350 | 354 | 0 |
| 14 | Forca Lleida | 4 | 1 | 3 | 373 | 394 | 0 |
| 15 | BC Andorra | 4 | 1 | 3 | 352 | 380 | 0 |
| 16 | UCAM Murcia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 347 | 384 | 0 |
| 17 | Coruna | 4 | 1 | 3 | 366 | 422 | 0 |
| 18 | Manresa | 4 | 0 | 4 | 342 | 412 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valencia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB |
116-93 | W |
| 11/10 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
86-89 | L |
| 04/10 | Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB |
97-82 | W |
| 27/09 | Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB |
100-105 | L |
| 24/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
108-84 | W |
| 22/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
88-80 | W |
| 20/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
102-75 | W |
| 18/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
112-113 | L |
| 14/06 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
87-75 | W |
| 12/06 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
90-76 | W |
Baskonia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Tenerife Spain Liga ACB |
77-82 | L |
| 11/10 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
93-73 | W |
| 04/10 | Girona Spain Liga ACB |
118-78 | W |
| 27/09 | San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB |
98-97 | W |
| 07/06 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
88-96 | L |
| 05/06 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
63-82 | L |
| 03/06 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
85-71 | W |
| 29/05 | Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB |
92-89 | W |
| 27/05 | Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB |
88-83 | W |
| 17/05 | Granada Spain Liga ACB |
121-85 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valencia vs Baskonia?
Our model gives 74% to Valencia.
How many points are expected in Valencia vs Baskonia?
The model estimates 182.7 total points (Valencia 95.8 · Baskonia 86.8).