Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 01/11, 18:00

Prediction: BC Andorra vs Valencia

Team pages: BC Andorra · Valencia

Prediction summary

Estimated points

184.9Total

BC Andorra88.3

Valencia96.5

1X2

28% 72%

BC Andorra Valencia

Recent form · 10 last

BC Andorra 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLLWL

Valencia 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

BC Andorra 2–4 Valencia (6 last)

BC Andorra75-107Valencia
Valencia84-79BC Andorra
BC Andorra86-84Valencia
Valencia89-88BC Andorra
BC Andorra99-71Valencia
Valencia86-82BC Andorra

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BC Andorra 1409 · Valencia 1643

	BC Andorra	Valencia
Our model	30%	70%
Market	27%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 184.9 points · Bet365 line 181.5 · +3.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points184.9BC Andorra 88.3 · Valencia 96.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valencia (rating 1409 vs 1643).
Valencia is a clear favourite (72% market).
H2H favours Valencia: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BC Andorra	Valencia
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.5 / 93.6	98 / 87.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.6 / 93.6	96.6 / 88.8
Est. result	88	97

Est. total184.9

Line O/U181.5

Diff.3.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.50

21.29

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+7.5)1.87

2 (-7.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 181.51.87

Under 181.51.87

Diff.: 3.1 · Est. total: 184.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.29 → 1.29	Bet365 1.29

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.9%

Time*	1	2
19:51 +12’	3.50	1.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · BC Andorra 2–0–4 Valencia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Spain Liga ACB	BC Andorra	75-107	Valencia
28/12/25 Spain Liga ACB	Valencia	84-79	BC Andorra
01/02/25 Spain Liga ACB	BC Andorra	86-84	Valencia
20/10/24 Spain Liga ACB	Valencia	89-88	BC Andorra
12/05/24 Spain Liga ACB	BC Andorra	99-71	Valencia
17/12/23 Spain Liga ACB	Valencia	86-82	BC Andorra

Standings · Spain Liga ACB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Real Madrid	5	5	0	564	447
2	Tenerife	5	4	1	438	386
3	Baskonia	5	3	2	461	414
4	Valencia	5	3	2	483	444
5	Unicaja Malaga	5	3	2	441	415
6	Breogan	5	3	2	518	502
7	Barcelona	5	3	2	490	481
8	Zaragoza	5	3	2	445	445
9	Bilbao	5	3	2	476	478
10	Girona	5	3	2	465	487
11	Monbus Obradoiro	5	3	2	443	466
12	San Pablo Burgos	5	2	3	449	435
13	Joventut	5	2	3	473	468
14	UCAM Murcia	5	2	3	435	465
15	BC Andorra	5	1	4	428	468
16	Forca Lleida	5	1	4	459	516
17	Coruna	5	1	4	447	510
18	Manresa	5	0	5	423	511

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BC Andorra	Valencia
Joventut	75-96 L	87-75 W
Barcelona	95-100 L	86-89 L
Forca Lleida	116-88 W	100-105 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Valencia (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BC Andorra

WLLWLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Bilbao Spain Liga ACB	76-88	L
17/10	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	108-102	W
14/10	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	75-96	L
10/10	Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB	84-92	L
26/09	Monbus Obradoiro Spain Liga ACB	85-90	L
29/05	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	95-100	L
24/05	Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB	116-88	W
17/05	San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB	83-85	L
14/05	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	79-101	L
10/05	Manresa Spain Liga ACB	104-94	W

Valencia

WLWWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Baskonia Spain Liga ACB	84-75	W
18/10	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	116-93	W
11/10	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	86-89	L
04/10	Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB	97-82	W
27/09	Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB	100-105	L
24/06	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	108-84	W
22/06	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	88-80	W
20/06	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	102-75	W
18/06	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	112-113	L
14/06	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	87-75	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BC Andorra vs Valencia?

Our model gives 72% to Valencia.

How many points are expected in BC Andorra vs Valencia?

The model estimates 184.9 total points (BC Andorra 88.3 · Valencia 96.5).