Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 01/11, 19:00

Prediction: Unicaja Malaga vs Barcelona

Team pages: Unicaja Malaga · Barcelona

Prediction summary

Estimated points

179.3Total

Unicaja Malaga90.5

Barcelona88.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

Unicaja Malaga Barcelona

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Unicaja Malaga 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLWWW

Barcelona 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWLWLW

Head-to-head

Unicaja Malaga 2–4 Barcelona (6 last)

Barcelona97-91Unicaja Malaga
Unicaja Malaga77-83Barcelona
Unicaja Malaga97-95Barcelona
Barcelona59-81Unicaja Malaga
Unicaja Malaga97-101Barcelona
Barcelona83-81Unicaja Malaga

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Unicaja Malaga 1555 · Barcelona 1561

	Unicaja Malaga	Barcelona
Our model	62%	38%
Market	53%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 179.3 points · Bet365 line 178.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points179.3Unicaja Malaga 90.5 · Barcelona 88.8

Match keys

H2H favours Barcelona: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Unicaja Malaga	Barcelona
Points F\|A (Last 10)	86.4 / 86.9	92.7 / 96.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	88.2 / 83	98 / 96.2
Est. result	91	89

Est. total179.3

Line O/U178.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.77

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.87

2 (+1.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 178.51.87

Under 178.51.87

Diff.: 2.85 · Est. total: 181.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.77 → 1.77	Bet365 1.77
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	2
21:20 +4’	1.77	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Unicaja Malaga 2–0–4 Barcelona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Spain Liga ACB	Barcelona	97-91	Unicaja Malaga
19/10/25 Spain Liga ACB	Unicaja Malaga	77-83	Barcelona
08/06/25 Spain Liga ACB	Unicaja Malaga	97-95	Barcelona
06/06/25 Spain Liga ACB	Barcelona	59-81	Unicaja Malaga
03/06/25 Spain Liga ACB	Unicaja Malaga	97-101	Barcelona
27/04/25 Spain Liga ACB	Barcelona	83-81	Unicaja Malaga

Standings · Spain Liga ACB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Real Madrid	5	5	0	564	447
2	Tenerife	5	4	1	438	386
3	Baskonia	5	3	2	461	414
4	Valencia	5	3	2	483	444
5	Unicaja Malaga	5	3	2	441	415
6	Breogan	5	3	2	518	502
7	Barcelona	5	3	2	490	481
8	Zaragoza	5	3	2	445	445
9	Bilbao	5	3	2	476	478
10	Girona	5	3	2	465	487
11	Monbus Obradoiro	5	3	2	443	466
12	San Pablo Burgos	5	2	3	449	435
13	Joventut	5	2	3	473	468
14	UCAM Murcia	5	2	3	435	465
15	BC Andorra	5	1	4	428	468
16	Forca Lleida	5	1	4	459	516
17	Coruna	5	1	4	447	510
18	Manresa	5	0	5	423	511

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Unicaja Malaga	Barcelona
Tenerife	75-80 L	85-76 W
Joventut	74-95 L	89-113 L
UCAM Murcia	69-87 L	94-100 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Barcelona (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Unicaja Malaga

LLWLLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	103-90	W
17/10	Manresa Spain Liga ACB	84-72	W
10/10	BC Andorra Spain Liga ACB	92-84	W
03/10	Tenerife Spain Liga ACB	75-80	L
27/09	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	87-89	L
29/05	Baskonia Spain Liga ACB	89-92	L
26/05	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	74-95	L
23/05	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	101-83	W
17/05	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	69-87	L
14/05	San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB	90-97	L

Barcelona

WWLLLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB	99-81	W
18/10	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	89-113	L
11/10	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	89-86	W
04/10	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	94-100	L
26/09	Coruna Spain Liga ACB	119-101	W
24/06	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	84-108	L
22/06	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	80-88	L
20/06	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	75-102	L
18/06	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	113-112	W
13/06	Tenerife Spain Liga ACB	85-76	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Unicaja Malaga vs Barcelona?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Unicaja Malaga 55% · Barcelona 45%).

How many points are expected in Unicaja Malaga vs Barcelona?

The model estimates 179.3 total points (Unicaja Malaga 90.5 · Barcelona 88.8).