Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 01/11, 17:00

Prediction: Baskonia vs Manresa

Team pages: Baskonia · Manresa

Prediction summary

Estimated points

180.5Total

Baskonia95.2

Manresa85.3

1X2

76% 24%

Baskonia Manresa

Recent form · 10 last

Baskonia 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWWWLL

Manresa 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLLLL

Head-to-head

Baskonia 6–0 Manresa (6 last)

Manresa83-88Baskonia
Baskonia130-85Manresa
Baskonia90-84Manresa
Manresa80-82Baskonia
Manresa82-90Baskonia
Baskonia94-86Manresa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Baskonia 1490 · Manresa 1467

	Baskonia	Manresa
Our model	66%	34%
Market	79%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 180.5 points · Bet365 line 180.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points180.5Baskonia 95.2 · Manresa 85.3

Match keys

Baskonia is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours Baskonia: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Baskonia	Manresa
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.7 / 83.5	87.8 / 93.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	92.2 / 82.8	84.6 / 102.2
Est. result	95	85

Est. total180.5

Line O/U180.5

Diff.0

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.20

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-9.5)1.87

2 (+9.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 180.51.87

Under 180.51.87

Diff.: 4.05 · Est. total: 176.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.6%

Time*	1	2
21:28 +45’	1.20	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Baskonia 6–0–0 Manresa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Spain Liga ACB	Manresa	83-88	Baskonia
18/01/26 Spain Liga ACB	Baskonia	130-85	Manresa
22/03/25 Spain Liga ACB	Baskonia	90-84	Manresa
29/12/24 Spain Liga ACB	Manresa	80-82	Baskonia
14/01/24 Spain Liga ACB	Manresa	82-90	Baskonia
26/11/23 Spain Liga ACB	Baskonia	94-86	Manresa

Standings · Spain Liga ACB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Real Madrid	5	5	0	564	447
2	Tenerife	5	4	1	438	386
3	Baskonia	5	3	2	461	414
4	Valencia	5	3	2	483	444
5	Unicaja Malaga	5	3	2	441	415
6	Breogan	5	3	2	518	502
7	Barcelona	5	3	2	490	481
8	Zaragoza	5	3	2	445	445
9	Bilbao	5	3	2	476	478
10	Girona	5	3	2	465	487
11	Monbus Obradoiro	5	3	2	443	466
12	San Pablo Burgos	5	2	3	449	435
13	Joventut	5	2	3	473	468
14	UCAM Murcia	5	2	3	435	465
15	BC Andorra	5	1	4	428	468
16	Forca Lleida	5	1	4	459	516
17	Coruna	5	1	4	447	510
18	Manresa	5	0	5	423	511

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Baskonia	Manresa
Girona	118-78 W	79-74 W
San Pablo Burgos	98-97 W	81-99 L
Unicaja Malaga	92-89 W	72-84 L
Real Madrid	88-83 W	83-120 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Baskonia (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Baskonia

WWWLLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	75-84	L
18/10	Tenerife Spain Liga ACB	77-82	L
11/10	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	93-73	W
04/10	Girona Spain Liga ACB	118-78	W
27/09	San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB	98-97	W
07/06	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	88-96	L
05/06	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	63-82	L
03/06	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	85-71	W
29/05	Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB	92-89	W
27/05	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	88-83	W

Manresa

LWWWWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB	81-99	L
17/10	Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB	72-84	L
11/10	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	83-120	L
03/10	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	95-101	L
26/09	Bilbao Spain Liga ACB	92-107	L
29/05	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	94-87	W
23/05	Gran Canaria Spain Liga ACB	87-80	W
16/05	Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB	101-83	W
12/05	Girona Spain Liga ACB	79-74	W
10/05	BC Andorra Spain Liga ACB	94-104	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Baskonia vs Manresa?

Our model gives 76% to Baskonia.

How many points are expected in Baskonia vs Manresa?

The model estimates 180.5 total points (Baskonia 95.2 · Manresa 85.3).