Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 27/09, 13:00

Prediction: Tenerife vs Zaragoza

Prediction summary

Estimated points

183.6Total

Tenerife95.7

Zaragoza87.9

1X2

71% 29%

Tenerife Zaragoza

Recent form · 10 last

Tenerife 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Zaragoza 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Tenerife 5–1 Zaragoza (6 last)

Zaragoza86-84Tenerife
Tenerife99-76Zaragoza
Zaragoza76-84Tenerife
Zaragoza73-85Tenerife
Zaragoza89-93Tenerife
Tenerife106-97Zaragoza

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tenerife 1457 · Zaragoza 1443

	Tenerife	Zaragoza
Our model	65%	35%
Market	73%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 183.6 points · Bet365 line 173.5 · +10.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points183.6Tenerife 95.7 · Zaragoza 87.9

Match keys

Tenerife is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours Tenerife: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tenerife	Zaragoza
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.6 / 97.7	86.8 / 94
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84.4 / 99	85.6 / 95.6
Est. result	96	88

Est. total183.6

Line O/U173.5

Diff.10.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.29

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.87

2 (+7.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 173.51.83

Under 173.51.91

Diff.: 11.05 · Est. total: 184.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.29 → 1.29	Bet365 1.29
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.9%

Time*	1	2
12:54 +5’	1.29	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tenerife 5–0–1 Zaragoza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Club Friendlies	Zaragoza	86-84	Tenerife
29/03/26 Spain Liga ACB	Tenerife	99-76	Zaragoza
23/11/25 Spain Liga ACB	Zaragoza	76-84	Tenerife
07/09/25 Club Friendlies	Zaragoza	73-85	Tenerife
29/03/25 Spain Liga ACB	Zaragoza	89-93	Tenerife
02/01/25 Spain Liga ACB	Tenerife	106-97	Zaragoza

Standings · Spain Liga ACB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Zaragoza	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Baskonia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Girona	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Manresa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BC Andorra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tenerife	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Breogan	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Coruna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Unicaja Malaga	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	San Pablo Burgos	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Joventut	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Forca Lleida	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Monbus Obradoiro	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UCAM Murcia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tenerife	Zaragoza
Barcelona	76-85 L	86-92 L
Granada	109-96 W	74-85 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tenerife

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/06	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	76-85	L
11/06	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	89-97	L
09/06	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	67-100	L
06/06	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	107-95	W
04/06	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	83-118	L
02/06	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	98-97	W
29/05	Bilbao Spain Liga ACB	82-87	L
23/05	Granada Spain Liga ACB	109-96	W
20/05	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	98-100	L
17/05	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	97-102	L

Zaragoza

LLWWLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/05	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	95-94	W
26/05	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	86-98	L
24/05	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	90-100	L
16/05	Manresa Spain Liga ACB	83-101	L
09/05	Granada Spain Liga ACB	74-85	L
02/05	Girona Spain Liga ACB	81-90	L
18/04	Gran Canaria Spain Liga ACB	78-74	W
11/04	Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB	107-91	W
05/04	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	86-92	L
01/04	Baskonia Spain Liga ACB	88-115	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tenerife vs Zaragoza?

Our model gives 71% to Tenerife.

How many points are expected in Tenerife vs Zaragoza?

The model estimates 183.6 total points (Tenerife 95.7 · Zaragoza 87.9).