Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 11/10, 17:00
Prediction: Baskonia vs Joventut
Team pages: Baskonia · Joventut
Prediction summary
Estimated points
178.5Total
Baskonia91.6
Joventut86.9
1X2
Baskonia
Joventut
Recent form · 10 last
Baskonia
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Joventut
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Baskonia
2–4
Joventut
(6 last)
- Joventut96-84Baskonia
- Baskonia88-96Joventut
- Joventut82-63Baskonia
- Baskonia85-71Joventut
- Joventut81-69Baskonia
- Baskonia87-77Joventut
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Baskonia 1527 · Joventut 1533
| Baskonia | Joventut | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 63% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
178.5 points · Bet365 line 182.5 · -4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points178.5Baskonia 91.6 · Joventut 86.9
Match keys
- H2H favours Joventut: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Baskonia | Joventut | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 92.8 / 84.7 | 87.9 / 87.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 90.4 / 84.8 | 93.6 / 98.6 |
| Est. result | 92 | 87 |
Est. total178.5
Line O/U182.5
Diff.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Baskonia 2–0–4 Joventut
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 Spain ACB Supercopa | Joventut | 96-84 | Baskonia |
| 07/06/26 Spain Liga ACB | Baskonia | 88-96 | Joventut |
| 05/06/26 Spain Liga ACB | Joventut | 82-63 | Baskonia |
| 03/06/26 Spain Liga ACB | Baskonia | 85-71 | Joventut |
| 18/04/26 Spain Liga ACB | Joventut | 81-69 | Baskonia |
| 25/01/26 Spain Liga ACB | Baskonia | 87-77 | Joventut |
Standings · Spain Liga ACB
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baskonia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 216 | 175 | 0 |
| 2 | Breogan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 211 | 199 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 203 | 194 | 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 201 | 0 |
| 5 | Bilbao | 2 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 196 | 0 |
| 6 | San Pablo Burgos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 191 | 179 | 0 |
| 7 | Valencia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 197 | 187 | 0 |
| 8 | Tenerife | 2 | 1 | 1 | 160 | 156 | 0 |
| 9 | UCAM Murcia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 177 | 178 | 0 |
| 10 | Monbus Obradoiro | 2 | 1 | 1 | 197 | 199 | 0 |
| 11 | Forca Lleida | 2 | 1 | 1 | 186 | 194 | 0 |
| 12 | Zaragoza | 2 | 1 | 1 | 163 | 177 | 0 |
| 13 | Coruna | 2 | 1 | 1 | 205 | 220 | 0 |
| 14 | Girona | 2 | 1 | 1 | 162 | 195 | 0 |
| 15 | BC Andorra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 85 | 90 | 0 |
| 16 | Joventut | 1 | 0 | 1 | 104 | 110 | 0 |
| 17 | Unicaja Malaga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 162 | 169 | 0 |
| 18 | Manresa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 187 | 208 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Baskonia | Joventut |
|---|---|---|
| Girona | 118-78 W | 77-82 L |
| San Pablo Burgos | 98-97 W | 86-79 W |
| Unicaja Malaga | 92-89 W | 95-74 W |
| Valencia | 88-86 W | 75-87 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Baskonia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Girona Spain Liga ACB |
118-78 | W |
| 27/09 | San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB |
98-97 | W |
| 07/06 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
88-96 | L |
| 05/06 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
63-82 | L |
| 03/06 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
85-71 | W |
| 29/05 | Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB |
92-89 | W |
| 27/05 | Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB |
88-83 | W |
| 17/05 | Granada Spain Liga ACB |
121-85 | W |
| 14/05 | UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB |
87-80 | W |
| 10/05 | Valencia Spain Liga ACB |
88-86 | W |
Joventut
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Breogan Spain Liga ACB |
104-110 | L |
| 14/06 | Valencia Spain Liga ACB |
75-87 | L |
| 12/06 | Valencia Spain Liga ACB |
76-90 | L |
| 10/06 | Valencia Spain Liga ACB |
117-118 | L |
| 07/06 | Baskonia Spain Liga ACB |
96-88 | W |
| 05/06 | Baskonia Spain Liga ACB |
82-63 | W |
| 03/06 | Baskonia Spain Liga ACB |
71-85 | L |
| 29/05 | Girona Spain Liga ACB |
77-82 | L |
| 26/05 | Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB |
95-74 | W |
| 24/05 | San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB |
86-79 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Baskonia vs Joventut?
Our model gives 63% to Baskonia.
How many points are expected in Baskonia vs Joventut?
The model estimates 178.5 total points (Baskonia 91.6 · Joventut 86.9).