Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 11/10, 12:30
Prediction: UCAM Murcia vs Tenerife
Team pages: UCAM Murcia · Tenerife
Prediction summary
Estimated points
178.7Total
UCAM Murcia91.8
Tenerife86.8
1X2
UCAM Murcia
Tenerife
Recent form · 10 last
UCAM Murcia
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Tenerife
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UCAM Murcia
2–4
Tenerife
(6 last)
- UCAM Murcia86-80Tenerife
- Tenerife96-80UCAM Murcia
- UCAM Murcia77-78Tenerife
- Tenerife82-74UCAM Murcia
- Tenerife75-73UCAM Murcia
- UCAM Murcia80-68Tenerife
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UCAM Murcia 1536 · Tenerife 1474
| UCAM Murcia | Tenerife | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 63% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
178.7 points · Bet365 line 177.5 · +1.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points178.7UCAM Murcia 91.8 · Tenerife 86.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UCAM Murcia (rating 1536 vs 1474).
- H2H favours Tenerife: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| UCAM Murcia | Tenerife | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 88 / 87.2 | 87.1 / 93.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82.2 / 91.2 | 78.4 / 87.6 |
| Est. result | 92 | 87 |
Est. total178.7
Line O/U177.5
Diff.1.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · UCAM Murcia 2–0–4 Tenerife
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Spain Liga ACB | UCAM Murcia | 86-80 | Tenerife |
| 18/10/25 Spain Liga ACB | Tenerife | 96-80 | UCAM Murcia |
| 08/02/25 Spain Liga ACB | UCAM Murcia | 77-78 | Tenerife |
| 21/12/24 Spain Liga ACB | Tenerife | 82-74 | UCAM Murcia |
| 27/01/24 Spain Liga ACB | Tenerife | 75-73 | UCAM Murcia |
| 30/09/23 Spain Liga ACB | UCAM Murcia | 80-68 | Tenerife |
Standings · Spain Liga ACB
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baskonia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 216 | 175 | 0 |
| 2 | Breogan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 211 | 199 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 203 | 194 | 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 201 | 0 |
| 5 | Bilbao | 2 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 196 | 0 |
| 6 | San Pablo Burgos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 191 | 179 | 0 |
| 7 | Valencia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 197 | 187 | 0 |
| 8 | Tenerife | 2 | 1 | 1 | 160 | 156 | 0 |
| 9 | UCAM Murcia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 177 | 178 | 0 |
| 10 | Monbus Obradoiro | 2 | 1 | 1 | 197 | 199 | 0 |
| 11 | Forca Lleida | 2 | 1 | 1 | 186 | 194 | 0 |
| 12 | Zaragoza | 2 | 1 | 1 | 163 | 177 | 0 |
| 13 | Coruna | 2 | 1 | 1 | 205 | 220 | 0 |
| 14 | Girona | 2 | 1 | 1 | 162 | 195 | 0 |
| 15 | BC Andorra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 85 | 90 | 0 |
| 16 | Joventut | 1 | 0 | 1 | 104 | 110 | 0 |
| 17 | Unicaja Malaga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 162 | 169 | 0 |
| 18 | Manresa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 187 | 208 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UCAM Murcia | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 100-94 W | 76-85 L |
| Zaragoza | 100-90 W | 80-81 L |
| Unicaja Malaga | 87-69 W | 80-75 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: UCAM Murcia (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UCAM Murcia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
100-94 | W |
| 27/09 | Girona Spain Liga ACB |
77-84 | L |
| 06/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
76-100 | L |
| 04/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
90-87 | W |
| 02/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
68-91 | L |
| 29/05 | Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB |
116-95 | W |
| 24/05 | Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB |
100-90 | W |
| 17/05 | Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB |
87-69 | W |
| 14/05 | Baskonia Spain Liga ACB |
80-87 | L |
| 09/05 | Girona Spain Liga ACB |
86-75 | W |
Tenerife
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB |
80-75 | W |
| 27/09 | Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB |
80-81 | L |
| 13/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
76-85 | L |
| 11/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
89-97 | L |
| 09/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
67-100 | L |
| 06/06 | Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB |
107-95 | W |
| 04/06 | Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB |
83-118 | L |
| 02/06 | Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB |
98-97 | W |
| 29/05 | Bilbao Spain Liga ACB |
82-87 | L |
| 23/05 | Granada Spain Liga ACB |
109-96 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UCAM Murcia vs Tenerife?
Our model gives 64% to UCAM Murcia.
How many points are expected in UCAM Murcia vs Tenerife?
The model estimates 178.7 total points (UCAM Murcia 91.8 · Tenerife 86.8).