Basketball · Italy Lega 1 · 11/10, 19:00

Prediction: Venezia vs Virtus Bologna

Team pages: Venezia · Virtus Bologna

Prediction summary
Estimated points
174.9Total
Venezia87.1
Virtus Bologna87.8
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
48% 52%
Venezia Virtus Bologna

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Venezia 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WLWWLLWLWW
Virtus Bologna 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LLWWLWLLWW
Head-to-head
Venezia 4–2 Virtus Bologna (6 last)
  • Venezia90-83Virtus Bologna
  • Venezia89-85Virtus Bologna
  • Virtus Bologna98-79Venezia
  • Virtus Bologna83-91Venezia
  • Virtus Bologna82-86Venezia
  • Venezia75-81Virtus Bologna
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Venezia 1543 · Virtus Bologna 1578
VeneziaVirtus Bologna
Our model58%42%
Market45%55%
Estimated total (ours) 174.9 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · +4.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points174.9Venezia 87.1 · Virtus Bologna 87.8

Match keys

  • H2H favours Venezia: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

VeneziaVirtus Bologna
Points F|A (Last 10)86.1 / 87.990.2 / 87.2
Points F|A (Last 5)86.4 / 8690.8 / 83.2
Est. result8788
Est. total174.9
Line O/U170.5
Diff.4.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Venezia 4–0–2 Virtus Bologna

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/06/26
Italy Lega 1
Venezia90-83Virtus Bologna
04/06/26
Italy Lega 1
Venezia89-85Virtus Bologna
01/06/26
Italy Lega 1
Virtus Bologna98-79Venezia
30/05/26
Italy Lega 1
Virtus Bologna83-91Venezia
05/04/26
Italy Lega 1
Virtus Bologna82-86Venezia
11/01/26
Italy Lega 1
Venezia75-81Virtus Bologna

Standings · Italy Lega 1

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Virtus Bologna 220 1881584
2 Napoli 220 1931684
3 Udine 220 1721474
4 Treviso 220 2021844
5 Venezia 220 1721554
6 Roma Basketball 211 2021792
7 Verona 211 1681732
8 Derthona Basket 211 1712012
9 Trento 211 1731712
10 Varese 211 1541672
11 Milano 211 1551542
12 Trieste 202 1611700
13 Reggio Emilia 202 1711820
14 Cantu 202 1571700
15 Maxima Roma 202 1641920
16 Scafati 202 1401720

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Venezia

WLWWLLWLWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
04/10 Trieste
Italy Lega 1
87-82 W
26/09 Cantu
Italy Lega 1
85-73 W
18/06 Milano
Italy Lega 1
72-86 L
16/06 Milano
Italy Lega 1
109-97 W
13/06 Milano
Italy Lega 1
79-92 L
11/06 Milano
Italy Lega 1
80-100 L
06/06 Virtus Bologna
Italy Lega 1
90-83 W
04/06 Virtus Bologna
Italy Lega 1
89-85 W
01/06 Virtus Bologna
Italy Lega 1
79-98 L
30/05 Virtus Bologna
Italy Lega 1
91-83 W

Virtus Bologna

LLWWLWLLWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
04/10 Maxima Roma
Italy Lega 1
98-89 W
27/09 Varese
Italy Lega 1
90-69 W
06/06 Venezia
Italy Lega 1
83-90 L
04/06 Venezia
Italy Lega 1
85-89 L
01/06 Venezia
Italy Lega 1
98-79 W
30/05 Venezia
Italy Lega 1
83-91 L
26/05 Trento
Italy Lega 1
106-95 W
24/05 Trento
Italy Lega 1
90-81 W
22/05 Trento
Italy Lega 1
85-102 L
19/05 Trento
Italy Lega 1
84-87 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Venezia vs Virtus Bologna?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Venezia 48% · Virtus Bologna 52%).

How many points are expected in Venezia vs Virtus Bologna?

The model estimates 174.9 total points (Venezia 87.1 · Virtus Bologna 87.8).