Prediction: Napoli vs Milano
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
- Milano125-97Napoli
- Napoli71-77Milano
- Napoli95-87Milano
- Milano89-82Napoli
- Milano86-84Napoli
- Milano72-77Napoli
| Napoli | Milano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Milano: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Napoli | Milano | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 90.5 / 86.8 | 89.9 / 81 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 94 / 82 | 88.8 / 82.4 |
| Est. result | 86 | 87 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Napoli 2–0–4 Milano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Italy Lega 1 | Milano | 125-97 | Napoli |
| 12/01/26 Italy Lega 1 | Napoli | 71-77 | Milano |
| 31/03/25 Italy Lega 1 | Napoli | 95-87 | Milano |
| 26/10/24 Italy Lega 1 | Milano | 89-82 | Napoli |
| 24/03/24 Italy Lega 1 | Milano | 86-84 | Napoli |
| 18/02/24 Coppa Italia | Milano | 72-77 | Napoli |
Standings · Italy Lega 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 3 | 3 | 0 | 292 | 248 | 6 |
| 2 | Virtus Bologna | 3 | 3 | 0 | 281 | 244 | 6 |
| 3 | Milano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 261 | 231 | 4 |
| 4 | Trento | 3 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 237 | 4 |
| 5 | Verona | 3 | 2 | 1 | 257 | 255 | 4 |
| 6 | Treviso | 3 | 2 | 1 | 279 | 290 | 4 |
| 7 | Venezia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 258 | 248 | 4 |
| 8 | Varese | 3 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 251 | 4 |
| 9 | Udine | 3 | 2 | 1 | 238 | 221 | 4 |
| 10 | Roma Basketball | 3 | 1 | 2 | 297 | 275 | 2 |
| 11 | Reggio Emilia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 264 | 268 | 2 |
| 12 | Maxima Roma | 3 | 1 | 2 | 260 | 287 | 2 |
| 13 | Derthona Basket | 3 | 1 | 2 | 257 | 294 | 2 |
| 14 | Trieste | 3 | 0 | 3 | 245 | 255 | 0 |
| 15 | Cantu | 3 | 0 | 3 | 237 | 269 | 0 |
| 16 | Scafati | 3 | 0 | 3 | 222 | 261 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Napoli | Milano |
|---|---|---|
| Treviso | 88-71 W | 106-77 W |
| Leonessa Brescia | 85-100 L | 91-86 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Milano (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Napoli
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Cantu Italy Lega 1 |
99-80 | W |
| 03/10 | Reggio Emilia Italy Lega 1 |
99-93 | W |
| 27/09 | Maxima Roma Italy Lega 1 |
94-75 | W |
| 10/05 | Udine Italy Lega 1 |
98-71 | W |
| 03/05 | Reggio Emilia Italy Lega 1 |
80-91 | L |
| 25/04 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
84-74 | W |
| 19/04 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
97-125 | L |
| 12/04 | Treviso Italy Lega 1 |
88-71 | W |
| 04/04 | Leonessa Brescia Italy Lega 1 |
85-100 | L |
| 29/03 | Vanoli Cremona Italy Lega 1 |
81-88 | L |
Milano
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Treviso Italy Lega 1 |
106-77 | W |
| 05/10 | Verona Italy Lega 1 |
72-75 | L |
| 27/09 | Trieste Italy Lega 1 |
83-79 | W |
| 18/06 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
86-72 | W |
| 16/06 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
97-109 | L |
| 13/06 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
92-79 | W |
| 11/06 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
100-80 | W |
| 05/06 | Leonessa Brescia Italy Lega 1 |
91-86 | W |
| 03/06 | Leonessa Brescia Italy Lega 1 |
93-68 | W |
| 31/05 | Leonessa Brescia Italy Lega 1 |
79-85 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Napoli vs Milano?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Napoli 46% · Milano 54%).
How many points are expected in Napoli vs Milano?
The model estimates 173.3 total points (Napoli 85.9 · Milano 87.3).