Basketball · Italy Lega 1 · 11/10, 17:00
Prediction: Reggio Emilia vs Derthona Basket
Team pages: Reggio Emilia
Prediction summary
Estimated points
163.9Total
Reggio Emilia83.4
Derthona Basket80.5
1X2
Reggio Emilia
Derthona Basket
Recent form · 10 last
Reggio Emilia
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Derthona Basket
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Reggio Emilia
4–2
Derthona Basket
(6 last)
- Reggio Emilia88-69Derthona Basket
- Derthona Basket81-67Reggio Emilia
- Derthona Basket88-95Reggio Emilia
- Derthona Basket67-69Reggio Emilia
- Reggio Emilia86-82Derthona Basket
- Derthona Basket93-64Reggio Emilia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reggio Emilia 1498 · Derthona Basket 1502
| Reggio Emilia | Derthona Basket | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
163.9 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · -4.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points163.9Reggio Emilia 83.4 · Derthona Basket 80.5
Match keys
- H2H favours Reggio Emilia: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Reggio Emilia | Derthona Basket | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.4 / 82.6 | 81.7 / 85.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.4 / 87.8 | 85 / 86.4 |
| Est. result | 83 | 81 |
Est. total163.9
Line O/U168.5
Diff.4.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Reggio Emilia 4–0–2 Derthona Basket
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Italy Lega 1 | Reggio Emilia | 88-69 | Derthona Basket |
| 28/12/25 Italy Lega 1 | Derthona Basket | 81-67 | Reggio Emilia |
| 13/09/25 Club Friendlies | Derthona Basket | 88-95 | Reggio Emilia |
| 25/01/25 Italy Lega 1 | Derthona Basket | 67-69 | Reggio Emilia |
| 09/11/24 Italy Lega 1 | Reggio Emilia | 86-82 | Derthona Basket |
| 28/01/24 Italy Lega 1 | Derthona Basket | 93-64 | Reggio Emilia |
Standings · Italy Lega 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Bologna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 188 | 158 | 4 |
| 2 | Napoli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 193 | 168 | 4 |
| 3 | Udine | 2 | 2 | 0 | 172 | 147 | 4 |
| 4 | Treviso | 2 | 2 | 0 | 202 | 184 | 4 |
| 5 | Venezia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 172 | 155 | 4 |
| 6 | Roma Basketball | 2 | 1 | 1 | 202 | 179 | 2 |
| 7 | Verona | 2 | 1 | 1 | 168 | 173 | 2 |
| 8 | Derthona Basket | 2 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 201 | 2 |
| 9 | Trento | 2 | 1 | 1 | 173 | 171 | 2 |
| 10 | Varese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 154 | 167 | 2 |
| 11 | Milano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 155 | 154 | 2 |
| 12 | Trieste | 2 | 0 | 2 | 161 | 170 | 0 |
| 13 | Reggio Emilia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 171 | 182 | 0 |
| 14 | Cantu | 2 | 0 | 2 | 157 | 170 | 0 |
| 15 | Maxima Roma | 2 | 0 | 2 | 164 | 192 | 0 |
| 16 | Scafati | 2 | 0 | 2 | 140 | 172 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reggio Emilia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Napoli Italy Lega 1 |
93-99 | L |
| 26/09 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
78-83 | L |
| 21/05 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
72-84 | L |
| 18/05 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
65-77 | L |
| 16/05 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
84-96 | L |
| 10/05 | Treviso Italy Lega 1 |
77-78 | L |
| 03/05 | Napoli Italy Lega 1 |
91-80 | W |
| 26/04 | Derthona Basket Italy Lega 1 |
88-69 | W |
| 18/04 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
90-82 | W |
| 11/04 | Vanoli Cremona Italy Lega 1 |
96-78 | W |
Derthona Basket
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Roma Basketball Italy Lega 1 |
70-108 | L |
| 27/09 | Verona Italy Lega 1 |
101-93 | W |
| 26/05 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
83-89 | L |
| 24/05 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
89-71 | W |
| 22/05 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
82-71 | W |
| 19/05 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
75-87 | L |
| 17/05 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
82-89 | L |
| 10/05 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
78-75 | W |
| 03/05 | Brescia Italy Lega 1 |
88-80 | W |
| 26/04 | Reggio Emilia Italy Lega 1 |
69-88 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reggio Emilia vs Derthona Basket?
Our model gives 58% to Reggio Emilia.
How many points are expected in Reggio Emilia vs Derthona Basket?
The model estimates 163.9 total points (Reggio Emilia 83.4 · Derthona Basket 80.5).