Basketball · Italy Lega 1 · 18/10, 17:00
Prediction: Treviso vs Udine
Prediction summary
Estimated points
168.9Total
Treviso86
Udine82.8
1X2
Treviso
Udine
Recent form · 10 last
Treviso
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Udine
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Treviso
2–4
Udine
(6 last)
- Treviso72-84Udine
- Treviso92-82Udine
- Udine86-79Treviso
- Treviso77-59Udine
- Udine77-63Treviso
- Treviso68-82Udine
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Treviso 1547 · Udine 1491
| Treviso | Udine | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
168.9 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points168.9Treviso 86 · Udine 82.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Treviso (rating 1547 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Udine: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Treviso | Udine | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 89.8 / 88.8 | 78.4 / 82.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 87.4 / 87.8 | 75.6 / 79 |
| Est. result | 86 | 83 |
Est. total168.9
Line O/U168.5
Diff.0.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Treviso 2–0–4 Udine
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/26 Club Friendlies | Treviso | 72-84 | Udine |
| 18/04/26 Italy Lega 1 | Treviso | 92-82 | Udine |
| 21/12/25 Italy Lega 1 | Udine | 86-79 | Treviso |
| 20/04/19 Italy Serie A2 | Treviso | 77-59 | Udine |
| 06/01/19 Italy Serie A2 | Udine | 77-63 | Treviso |
| 04/09/18 Club Friendlies | Treviso | 68-82 | Udine |
Standings · Italy Lega 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 3 | 3 | 0 | 292 | 248 | 6 |
| 2 | Virtus Bologna | 3 | 3 | 0 | 281 | 244 | 6 |
| 3 | Milano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 261 | 231 | 4 |
| 4 | Trento | 3 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 237 | 4 |
| 5 | Verona | 3 | 2 | 1 | 257 | 255 | 4 |
| 6 | Treviso | 3 | 2 | 1 | 279 | 290 | 4 |
| 7 | Venezia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 258 | 248 | 4 |
| 8 | Varese | 3 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 251 | 4 |
| 9 | Udine | 3 | 2 | 1 | 238 | 221 | 4 |
| 10 | Roma Basketball | 3 | 1 | 2 | 297 | 275 | 2 |
| 11 | Reggio Emilia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 264 | 268 | 2 |
| 12 | Maxima Roma | 3 | 1 | 2 | 260 | 287 | 2 |
| 13 | Derthona Basket | 3 | 1 | 2 | 257 | 294 | 2 |
| 14 | Trieste | 3 | 0 | 3 | 245 | 255 | 0 |
| 15 | Cantu | 3 | 0 | 3 | 237 | 269 | 0 |
| 16 | Scafati | 3 | 0 | 3 | 222 | 261 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Treviso | Udine |
|---|---|---|
| Milano | 77-106 L | 86-83 W |
| Trento | 93-90 W | 66-74 L |
| Cantu | 80-72 W | 85-84 W |
| Napoli | 71-88 L | 71-98 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Treviso (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Treviso
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
77-106 | L |
| 03/10 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
93-90 | W |
| 26/09 | Roma Basketball Italy Lega 1 |
109-94 | W |
| 10/05 | Reggio Emilia Italy Lega 1 |
78-77 | W |
| 03/05 | Cantu Italy Lega 1 |
80-72 | W |
| 26/04 | Leonessa Brescia Italy Lega 1 |
99-90 | W |
| 18/04 | Udine Italy Lega 1 |
92-82 | W |
| 12/04 | Napoli Italy Lega 1 |
71-88 | L |
| 04/04 | Derthona Basket Italy Lega 1 |
91-86 | W |
| 29/03 | Dinamo Sassari Italy Lega 1 |
108-103 | W |
Udine
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
66-74 | L |
| 05/10 | Cantu Italy Lega 1 |
85-84 | W |
| 27/09 | Scafati Italy Lega 1 |
87-63 | W |
| 10/05 | Napoli Italy Lega 1 |
71-98 | L |
| 03/05 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
69-76 | L |
| 25/04 | Cantu Italy Lega 1 |
95-83 | W |
| 18/04 | Treviso Italy Lega 1 |
82-92 | L |
| 12/04 | Trieste Italy Lega 1 |
70-89 | L |
| 04/04 | Vanoli Cremona Italy Lega 1 |
73-82 | L |
| 29/03 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
86-83 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Treviso vs Udine?
Our model gives 59% to Treviso.
How many points are expected in Treviso vs Udine?
The model estimates 168.9 total points (Treviso 86 · Udine 82.8).