Basketball · Australia NBL · 24/10, 08:30

Prediction: Illawarra Hawks vs Brisbane Bullets

Prediction summary

Estimated points

192.3Total

Illawarra Hawks97.9

Brisbane Bullets94.4

1X2

60% 40%

Illawarra Hawks Brisbane Bullets

Recent form · 10 last

Illawarra Hawks 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLLWL

Brisbane Bullets 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLLLWL

Head-to-head

Illawarra Hawks 5–1 Brisbane Bullets (6 last)

Brisbane Bullets103-95Illawarra Hawks
Brisbane Bullets75-113Illawarra Hawks
Illawarra Hawks100-85Brisbane Bullets
Illawarra Hawks116-89Brisbane Bullets
Illawarra Hawks121-87Brisbane Bullets
Brisbane Bullets84-102Illawarra Hawks

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Illawarra Hawks 1477 · Brisbane Bullets 1423

	Illawarra Hawks	Brisbane Bullets
Our model	70%	30%
Market	58%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 192.3 points · Bet365 line 192.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points192.3Illawarra Hawks 97.9 · Brisbane Bullets 94.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Illawarra Hawks (rating 1477 vs 1423).
H2H favours Illawarra Hawks: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Illawarra Hawks	Brisbane Bullets
Points F\|A (Last 10)	97.4 / 102.3	88.3 / 98.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	96.2 / 108.4	93.6 / 102
Est. result	98	94

Est. total192.3

Line O/U192.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.65

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.87

2 (+2.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 192.51.91

Under 192.51.91

Diff.: 0.6 · Est. total: 193.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.1%

Time*	1	2
01:43 +4’	1.65	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Illawarra Hawks 5–0–1 Brisbane Bullets

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/09/26 Australia NBL	Brisbane Bullets	103-95	Illawarra Hawks
26/01/26 Australia NBL	Brisbane Bullets	75-113	Illawarra Hawks
11/12/25 Australia NBL	Illawarra Hawks	100-85	Brisbane Bullets
11/10/25 Australia NBL	Illawarra Hawks	116-89	Brisbane Bullets
20/01/25 Australia NBL	Illawarra Hawks	121-87	Brisbane Bullets
27/12/24 Australia NBL	Brisbane Bullets	84-102	Illawarra Hawks

Standings · Australia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Tasmania JackJumpers	8	6	2	790	748
2	Sydney Kings	7	5	2	714	617
3	Perth Wildcats	6	4	2	547	564
4	New Zealand Breakers	8	4	4	737	712
5	Adelaide 36ers	8	4	4	710	726
6	Cairns Taipans	8	4	4	724	780
7	Melbourne United	7	3	4	647	630
8	Brisbane Bullets	7	3	4	659	690
9	SE Melbourne Phoenix	8	3	5	772	751
10	Illawarra Hawks	9	2	7	871	953

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Illawarra Hawks	Brisbane Bullets
Sydney Kings	82-108 L	78-93 L
Cairns Taipans	100-110 L	91-97 L
Tasmania JackJumpers	112-122 L	85-106 L
SE Melbourne Phoenix	96-113 L	115-105 W
New Zealand Breakers	81-95 L	88-85 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Brisbane Bullets (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Illawarra Hawks

WLLLWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/10	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	82-108	L
18/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	91-89	W
11/10	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	100-110	L
09/10	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	112-122	L
04/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	96-113	L
02/10	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	114-92	W
27/09	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	100-121	L
25/09	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	95-103	L
20/09	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	81-95	L
18/02	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	103-70	W

Brisbane Bullets

LLLWWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	85-106	L
15/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	115-105	W
08/10	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	91-97	L
03/10	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	99-109	L
30/09	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	78-93	L
25/09	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	103-95	W
22/09	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	88-85	W
20/02	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	77-117	L
13/02	Perth Wildcats Australia NBL	75-94	L
08/02	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	72-81	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Illawarra Hawks vs Brisbane Bullets?

Our model gives 60% to Illawarra Hawks.

How many points are expected in Illawarra Hawks vs Brisbane Bullets?

The model estimates 192.3 total points (Illawarra Hawks 97.9 · Brisbane Bullets 94.4).