Basketball · Australia NBL · 30/10, 09:30

Prediction: Tasmania JackJumpers vs Sydney Kings

Team pages: Sydney Kings

Prediction summary

Estimated points

189.7Total

Tasmania JackJumpers94

Sydney Kings95.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

45% 55%

Tasmania JackJumpers Sydney Kings

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Tasmania JackJumpers 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Sydney Kings 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tasmania JackJumpers 3–3 Sydney Kings (6 last)

Sydney Kings105-94Tasmania JackJumpers
Tasmania JackJumpers104-81Sydney Kings
Sydney Kings89-90Tasmania JackJumpers
Tasmania JackJumpers86-70Sydney Kings
Sydney Kings88-77Tasmania JackJumpers
Sydney Kings88-60Tasmania JackJumpers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tasmania JackJumpers 1514 · Sydney Kings 1575

	Tasmania JackJumpers	Sydney Kings
Our model	54%	46%
Market	43%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 189.7 points · Bet365 line 188.5 · +1.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points189.7Tasmania JackJumpers 94 · Sydney Kings 95.7

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tasmania JackJumpers	Sydney Kings
Points F\|A (Last 10)	92.8 / 93.3	102.1 / 91.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	104.6 / 96.4	101 / 92.2
Est. result	94	96

Est. total189.7

Line O/U188.5

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.20

21.68

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.91

2 (-2.5)1.91

Line ⓘ

Over 188.51.87

Under 188.51.95

Diff.: 1.3 · Est. total: 189.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
2	1.68 → 1.68	Bet365 1.68

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5%

Time*	1	2
01:47 +3’	2.20	1.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tasmania JackJumpers 3–0–3 Sydney Kings

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/01/26 Australia NBL	Sydney Kings	105-94	Tasmania JackJumpers
23/11/25 Australia NBL	Tasmania JackJumpers	104-81	Sydney Kings
26/10/25 Australia NBL	Sydney Kings	89-90	Tasmania JackJumpers
15/10/25 Australia NBL	Tasmania JackJumpers	86-70	Sydney Kings
19/01/25 Australia NBL	Sydney Kings	88-77	Tasmania JackJumpers
03/11/24 Australia NBL	Sydney Kings	88-60	Tasmania JackJumpers

Standings · Australia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Tasmania JackJumpers	8	6	2	790	748
2	Perth Wildcats	7	5	2	650	666
3	Sydney Kings	8	5	3	809	722
4	Cairns Taipans	9	5	4	810	864
5	Brisbane Bullets	8	4	4	757	771
6	SE Melbourne Phoenix	9	4	5	880	845
7	Melbourne United	9	4	5	854	828
8	New Zealand Breakers	9	4	5	821	798
9	Adelaide 36ers	9	4	5	804	834
10	Illawarra Hawks	10	2	8	952	1051

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tasmania JackJumpers	Sydney Kings
Brisbane Bullets	106-85 W	93-78 W
New Zealand Breakers	98-92 W	101-102 L
Adelaide 36ers	88-94 L	78-84 L
Illawarra Hawks	122-112 W	108-82 W
Melbourne United	84-82 W	95-105 L
Cairns Taipans	87-93 L	111-90 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tasmania JackJumpers (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tasmania JackJumpers

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	106-85	W
18/10	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	98-92	W
16/10	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	88-94	L
09/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	122-112	W
03/10	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	109-99	W
01/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	84-82	W
23/09	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	87-93	L
21/09	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	96-91	W
05/03	Melbourne United Australia NBL	68-82	L
18/02	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	70-103	L

Sydney Kings

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/10	Perth Wildcats Australia NBL	99-91	W
25/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	95-105	L
22/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	108-82	W
17/10	Perth Wildcats Australia NBL	102-81	W
14/10	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	101-102	L
11/10	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	78-84	L
30/09	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	93-78	W
27/09	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	121-100	W
20/09	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	111-90	W
05/04	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	113-101	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tasmania JackJumpers vs Sydney Kings?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Tasmania JackJumpers 45% · Sydney Kings 55%).

How many points are expected in Tasmania JackJumpers vs Sydney Kings?

The model estimates 189.7 total points (Tasmania JackJumpers 94 · Sydney Kings 95.7).