Basketball · Australia NBL · 31/10, 09:30

Prediction: Cairns Taipans vs Melbourne United

Team pages: Cairns Taipans · Melbourne United

Prediction summary

Estimated points

183.4Total

Cairns Taipans90.1

Melbourne United93.3

1X2

41% 59%

Cairns Taipans Melbourne United

Recent form · 10 last

Cairns Taipans 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Melbourne United 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Cairns Taipans 2–4 Melbourne United (6 last)

Melbourne United95-107Cairns Taipans
Cairns Taipans85-89Melbourne United
Melbourne United92-93Cairns Taipans
Cairns Taipans67-94Melbourne United
Melbourne United95-60Cairns Taipans
Melbourne United116-91Cairns Taipans

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cairns Taipans 1532 · Melbourne United 1503

	Cairns Taipans	Melbourne United
Our model	66%	34%
Market	35%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 183.4 points · Bet365 line 194.5 · -11.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points183.4Cairns Taipans 90.1 · Melbourne United 93.3

Match keys

H2H favours Melbourne United: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Cairns Taipans	Melbourne United
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.7 / 94.9	93.1 / 92.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	96.6 / 95	99.2 / 95.8
Est. result	90	93

Est. total183.4

Line O/U194.5

Diff.11.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.70

21.47

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.97

2 (-4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 194.51.91

Under 194.51.91

Diff.: 8.5 · Est. total: 186

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
2	1.47 → 1.47	Bet365 1.47

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.1%

Time*	1	2
01:17 +33’	2.70	1.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cairns Taipans 2–0–4 Melbourne United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/10/26 Australia NBL	Melbourne United	95-107	Cairns Taipans
12/02/26 Australia NBL	Cairns Taipans	85-89	Melbourne United
07/01/26 Australia NBL	Melbourne United	92-93	Cairns Taipans
24/10/25 Australia NBL	Cairns Taipans	67-94	Melbourne United
12/10/25 Australia NBL	Melbourne United	95-60	Cairns Taipans
21/08/25 Club Friendlies	Melbourne United	116-91	Cairns Taipans

Standings · Australia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Tasmania JackJumpers	8	6	2	790	748
2	Sydney Kings	9	6	3	908	813
3	Perth Wildcats	8	5	3	741	765
4	Cairns Taipans	10	6	4	917	949
5	SE Melbourne Phoenix	9	4	5	880	845
6	Melbourne United	9	4	5	854	828
7	New Zealand Breakers	9	4	5	821	798
8	Adelaide 36ers	9	4	5	804	834
9	Brisbane Bullets	9	4	5	842	878
10	Illawarra Hawks	10	2	8	952	1051

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cairns Taipans	Melbourne United
SE Melbourne Phoenix	83-115 L	104-99 W
Illawarra Hawks	110-100 W	89-91 L
Adelaide 36ers	69-83 L	96-91 W
Tasmania JackJumpers	93-87 W	82-84 L
Sydney Kings	90-111 L	105-95 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Melbourne United (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cairns Taipans

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/10	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	107-85	W
25/10	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	86-84	W
17/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	83-115	L
11/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	110-100	W
08/10	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	97-91	W
03/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	107-95	W
30/09	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	75-98	L
27/09	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	69-83	L
23/09	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	93-87	W
20/09	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	90-111	L

Melbourne United

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	105-95	W
23/10	Perth Wildcats Australia NBL	102-103	L
18/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	89-91	L
10/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	104-99	W
07/10	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	96-91	W
03/10	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	95-107	L
01/10	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	82-84	L
24/09	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	86-61	W
19/09	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	95-97	L
07/03	Perth Wildcats Australia NBL	77-95	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cairns Taipans vs Melbourne United?

Our model gives 59% to Melbourne United.

How many points are expected in Cairns Taipans vs Melbourne United?

The model estimates 183.4 total points (Cairns Taipans 90.1 · Melbourne United 93.3).