Basketball · Australia NBL · 01/11, 07:00

Prediction: Adelaide 36ers vs Brisbane Bullets

Team pages: Adelaide 36ers · Brisbane Bullets

Prediction summary

Estimated points

184.7Total

Adelaide 36ers96.9

Brisbane Bullets87.9

1X2

74% 26%

Adelaide 36ers Brisbane Bullets

Recent form · 10 last

Adelaide 36ers 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Brisbane Bullets 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Adelaide 36ers 4–2 Brisbane Bullets (6 last)

Brisbane Bullets74-107Adelaide 36ers
Brisbane Bullets86-97Adelaide 36ers
Adelaide 36ers90-65Brisbane Bullets
Adelaide 36ers87-80Brisbane Bullets
Adelaide 36ers89-92Brisbane Bullets
Adelaide 36ers90-111Brisbane Bullets

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Adelaide 36ers 1542 · Brisbane Bullets 1431

	Adelaide 36ers	Brisbane Bullets
Our model	76%	24%
Market	73%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 184.7 points · Bet365 line 189.5 · -4.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points184.7Adelaide 36ers 96.9 · Brisbane Bullets 87.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide 36ers (rating 1542 vs 1431).
Adelaide 36ers is a clear favourite (74% market).
H2H favours Adelaide 36ers: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Adelaide 36ers	Brisbane Bullets
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.2 / 93.5	91.9 / 99.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	94.2 / 94.2	94.8 / 99.2
Est. result	97	88

Est. total184.7

Line O/U189.5

Diff.4.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.30

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.91

2 (+7.5)1.91

Line ⓘ

Over 189.51.91

Under 189.51.91

Diff.: 1.45 · Est. total: 188.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 4.7%

Time*	1	2
01:55 +4’	1.30	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide 36ers 4–0–2 Brisbane Bullets

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/01/26 Australia NBL	Brisbane Bullets	74-107	Adelaide 36ers
04/01/26 Australia NBL	Brisbane Bullets	86-97	Adelaide 36ers
05/12/25 Australia NBL	Adelaide 36ers	90-65	Brisbane Bullets
28/09/25 Australia NBL	Adelaide 36ers	87-80	Brisbane Bullets
31/01/25 Australia NBL	Adelaide 36ers	89-92	Brisbane Bullets
24/12/24 Australia NBL	Adelaide 36ers	90-111	Brisbane Bullets

Standings · Australia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Sydney Kings	10	7	3	979	881
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	9	6	3	858	819
3	Perth Wildcats	8	5	3	741	765
4	Cairns Taipans	10	6	4	917	949
5	Adelaide 36ers	10	5	5	912	935
6	SE Melbourne Phoenix	9	4	5	880	845
7	Melbourne United	9	4	5	854	828
8	Brisbane Bullets	9	4	5	842	878
9	New Zealand Breakers	10	4	6	922	906
10	Illawarra Hawks	10	2	8	952	1051

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Adelaide 36ers	Brisbane Bullets
New Zealand Breakers	108-101 W	88-85 W
SE Melbourne Phoenix	94-108 L	115-105 W
Tasmania JackJumpers	94-88 W	85-106 L
Sydney Kings	84-78 W	78-93 L
Illawarra Hawks	92-114 L	98-81 W
Cairns Taipans	83-69 W	85-107 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Adelaide 36ers (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Adelaide 36ers

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	108-101	W
24/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	94-108	L
16/10	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	94-88	W
11/10	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	84-78	W
07/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	91-96	L
04/10	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	72-88	L
02/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	92-114	L
27/09	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	83-69	W
24/09	Perth Wildcats Australia NBL	97-98	L
19/09	Melbourne United Australia NBL	97-95	W

Brisbane Bullets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/10	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	85-107	L
24/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	98-81	W
21/10	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	85-106	L
15/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	115-105	W
08/10	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	91-97	L
03/10	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	99-109	L
30/09	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	78-93	L
25/09	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	103-95	W
22/09	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	88-85	W
20/02	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	77-117	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Adelaide 36ers vs Brisbane Bullets?

Our model gives 74% to Adelaide 36ers.

How many points are expected in Adelaide 36ers vs Brisbane Bullets?

The model estimates 184.7 total points (Adelaide 36ers 96.9 · Brisbane Bullets 87.9).