Basketball · Australia NBL · 31/10, 11:30

Prediction: Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks

Team pages: Perth Wildcats · Illawarra Hawks

Prediction summary

Estimated points

192.8Total

Perth Wildcats101.6

Illawarra Hawks91.2

1X2

77% 23%

Perth Wildcats Illawarra Hawks

Recent form · 10 last

Perth Wildcats 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWLWL

Illawarra Hawks 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLWLL

Head-to-head

Perth Wildcats 3–3 Illawarra Hawks (6 last)

Illawarra Hawks99-106Perth Wildcats
Perth Wildcats92-87Illawarra Hawks
Perth Wildcats84-85Illawarra Hawks
Perth Wildcats92-84Illawarra Hawks
Illawarra Hawks120-88Perth Wildcats
Perth Wildcats111-121Illawarra Hawks

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth Wildcats 1537 · Illawarra Hawks 1424

	Perth Wildcats	Illawarra Hawks
Our model	76%	24%
Market	77%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 192.8 points · Bet365 line 191.5 · +1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points192.8Perth Wildcats 101.6 · Illawarra Hawks 91.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perth Wildcats (rating 1537 vs 1424).
Perth Wildcats is a clear favourite (77% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Perth Wildcats	Illawarra Hawks
Points F\|A (Last 10)	92 / 95.9	95.2 / 105.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	93.4 / 95	93.2 / 105.4
Est. result	102	91

Est. total192.8

Line O/U191.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.23

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.89

2 (+8.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 191.51.91

Under 191.51.91

Diff.: 2.6 · Est. total: 194.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.23 → 1.23	Bet365 1.23
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.1%

Time*	1	2
01:31 +23’	1.23	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth Wildcats 3–0–3 Illawarra Hawks

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Australia NBL	Illawarra Hawks	99-106	Perth Wildcats
16/01/26 Australia NBL	Perth Wildcats	92-87	Illawarra Hawks
25/10/25 Australia NBL	Perth Wildcats	84-85	Illawarra Hawks
02/10/25 Australia NBL	Perth Wildcats	92-84	Illawarra Hawks
22/12/24 Australia NBL	Illawarra Hawks	120-88	Perth Wildcats
06/12/24 Australia NBL	Perth Wildcats	111-121	Illawarra Hawks

Standings · Australia NBL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Tasmania JackJumpers	8	6	2	790	748
2	Perth Wildcats	7	5	2	650	666
3	Sydney Kings	8	5	3	809	722
4	Cairns Taipans	9	5	4	810	864
5	Brisbane Bullets	8	4	4	757	771
6	SE Melbourne Phoenix	9	4	5	880	845
7	Melbourne United	9	4	5	854	828
8	New Zealand Breakers	9	4	5	821	798
9	Adelaide 36ers	9	4	5	804	834
10	Illawarra Hawks	10	2	8	952	1051

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perth Wildcats	Illawarra Hawks
Sydney Kings	91-99 L	82-108 L
Melbourne United	103-102 W	91-89 W
New Zealand Breakers	100-84 W	81-95 L
SE Melbourne Phoenix	92-88 W	96-113 L
Adelaide 36ers	98-97 W	114-92 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Perth Wildcats (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Perth Wildcats

LLLWWWWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/10	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	91-99	L
23/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	103-102	W
17/10	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	81-102	L
10/10	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	100-84	W
02/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	92-88	W
26/09	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	97-93	W
24/09	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	98-97	W
19/09	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	79-100	L
14/03	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	75-89	L
11/03	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	104-105	L

Illawarra Hawks

LLLWLLLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	81-98	L
22/10	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	82-108	L
18/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	91-89	W
11/10	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	100-110	L
09/10	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	112-122	L
04/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	96-113	L
02/10	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	114-92	W
27/09	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	100-121	L
25/09	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	95-103	L
20/09	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	81-95	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks?

Our model gives 77% to Perth Wildcats.

How many points are expected in Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks?

The model estimates 192.8 total points (Perth Wildcats 101.6 · Illawarra Hawks 91.2).