Basketball · Australia NBL · 28/10, 11:30

Prediction: Perth Wildcats vs Sydney Kings

Team pages: Perth Wildcats · Sydney Kings

Prediction summary

Estimated points

187.6Total

Perth Wildcats93.8

Sydney Kings93.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

50% 50%

Perth Wildcats Sydney Kings

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Perth Wildcats 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWWLW

Sydney Kings 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLWWL

Head-to-head

Perth Wildcats 0–6 Sydney Kings (6 last)

Sydney Kings102-81Perth Wildcats
Perth Wildcats75-89Sydney Kings
Sydney Kings105-104Perth Wildcats
Sydney Kings102-84Perth Wildcats
Perth Wildcats79-108Sydney Kings
Sydney Kings94-72Perth Wildcats

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth Wildcats 1529 · Sydney Kings 1569

	Perth Wildcats	Sydney Kings
Our model	57%	43%
Market	48%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 187.6 points · Bet365 line 188.5 · -0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points187.6Perth Wildcats 93.8 · Sydney Kings 93.8

Match keys

H2H favours Sydney Kings: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Perth Wildcats	Sydney Kings
Points F\|A (Last 10)	92.4 / 93.7	101.3 / 91.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	94.6 / 93.8	96.8 / 90.8
Est. result	94	94

Est. total187.6

Line O/U188.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.97

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.82

2 (-1.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 188.51.91

Under 188.51.91

Diff.: 0.95 · Est. total: 189.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.97 → 1.97	Bet365 1.97
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 4.8%

Time*	1	2
01:45 +1’	1.97	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth Wildcats 0–0–6 Sydney Kings

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/10/26 Australia NBL	Sydney Kings	102-81	Perth Wildcats
14/03/26 Australia NBL	Perth Wildcats	75-89	Sydney Kings
11/03/26 Australia NBL	Sydney Kings	105-104	Perth Wildcats
15/02/26 Australia NBL	Sydney Kings	102-84	Perth Wildcats
12/12/25 Australia NBL	Perth Wildcats	79-108	Sydney Kings
19/10/25 Australia NBL	Sydney Kings	94-72	Perth Wildcats

Standings · Australia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Tasmania JackJumpers	8	6	2	790	748
2	Perth Wildcats	7	5	2	650	666
3	Sydney Kings	8	5	3	809	722
4	Cairns Taipans	9	5	4	810	864
5	Brisbane Bullets	8	4	4	757	771
6	SE Melbourne Phoenix	9	4	5	880	845
7	Melbourne United	9	4	5	854	828
8	New Zealand Breakers	9	4	5	821	798
9	Adelaide 36ers	9	4	5	804	834
10	Illawarra Hawks	10	2	8	952	1051

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perth Wildcats	Sydney Kings
Melbourne United	103-102 W	95-105 L
New Zealand Breakers	100-84 W	101-102 L
Adelaide 36ers	98-97 W	78-84 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Perth Wildcats (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Perth Wildcats

WLLLWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	103-102	W
17/10	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	81-102	L
10/10	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	100-84	W
02/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	92-88	W
26/09	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	97-93	W
24/09	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	98-97	W
19/09	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	79-100	L
14/03	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	75-89	L
11/03	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	104-105	L
07/03	Melbourne United Australia NBL	95-77	W

Sydney Kings

LWWWWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	95-105	L
22/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	108-82	W
17/10	Perth Wildcats Australia NBL	102-81	W
14/10	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	101-102	L
11/10	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	78-84	L
30/09	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	93-78	W
27/09	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	121-100	W
20/09	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	111-90	W
05/04	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	113-101	W
01/04	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	91-92	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth Wildcats vs Sydney Kings?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Perth Wildcats 50% · Sydney Kings 50%).

How many points are expected in Perth Wildcats vs Sydney Kings?

The model estimates 187.6 total points (Perth Wildcats 93.8 · Sydney Kings 93.8).