Basketball · Australia NBL · 04/11, 10:00

Prediction: Brisbane Bullets vs Perth Wildcats

Team pages: Brisbane Bullets · Perth Wildcats

Prediction summary

Estimated points

184.3Total

Brisbane Bullets91.4

Perth Wildcats92.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

46% 54%

Brisbane Bullets Perth Wildcats

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Brisbane Bullets 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Perth Wildcats 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWLWLL

Head-to-head

Brisbane Bullets 1–5 Perth Wildcats (6 last)

Perth Wildcats94-75Brisbane Bullets
Brisbane Bullets75-95Perth Wildcats
Brisbane Bullets62-86Perth Wildcats
Perth Wildcats93-110Brisbane Bullets
Brisbane Bullets85-112Perth Wildcats
Perth Wildcats117-89Brisbane Bullets

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brisbane Bullets 1466 · Perth Wildcats 1510

	Brisbane Bullets	Perth Wildcats
Our model	57%	43%
Market	43%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 184.3 points · Bet365 line 188.5 · -4.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points184.3Brisbane Bullets 91.4 · Perth Wildcats 92.8

Match keys

H2H favours Perth Wildcats: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Brisbane Bullets	Perth Wildcats
Points F\|A (Last 10)	93.8 / 96.7	91.4 / 95.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	95.8 / 97.6	94.6 / 98.4
Est. result	91	93

Est. total184.3

Line O/U188.5

Diff.4.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.20

21.68

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.89

2 (-3.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 188.51.91

Under 188.51.91

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 188.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
2	1.68 → 1.68	Bet365 1.68

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5%

Time*	1	2
02:10 +37’	2.20	1.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane Bullets 1–0–5 Perth Wildcats

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/02/26 Australia NBL	Perth Wildcats	94-75	Brisbane Bullets
01/01/26 Australia NBL	Brisbane Bullets	75-95	Perth Wildcats
14/12/25 Australia NBL	Brisbane Bullets	62-86	Perth Wildcats
15/10/25 Australia NBL	Perth Wildcats	93-110	Brisbane Bullets
15/01/25 Australia NBL	Brisbane Bullets	85-112	Perth Wildcats
29/11/24 Australia NBL	Perth Wildcats	117-89	Brisbane Bullets

Standings · Australia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Sydney Kings	10	7	3	979	881
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	10	7	3	956	908
3	Perth Wildcats	9	5	4	839	870
4	Cairns Taipans	11	6	5	1014	1062
5	Melbourne United	10	5	5	967	925
6	Brisbane Bullets	10	5	5	938	967
7	Adelaide 36ers	11	5	6	1001	1031
8	SE Melbourne Phoenix	10	4	6	969	943
9	New Zealand Breakers	10	4	6	922	906
10	Illawarra Hawks	11	3	8	1057	1149

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brisbane Bullets	Perth Wildcats
Adelaide 36ers	96-89 W	98-97 W
Illawarra Hawks	98-81 W	98-105 L
SE Melbourne Phoenix	115-105 W	92-88 W
Sydney Kings	78-93 L	91-99 L
New Zealand Breakers	88-85 W	100-84 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Brisbane Bullets (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brisbane Bullets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	96-89	W
29/10	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	85-107	L
24/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	98-81	W
21/10	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	85-106	L
15/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	115-105	W
08/10	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	91-97	L
03/10	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	99-109	L
30/09	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	78-93	L
25/09	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	103-95	W
22/09	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	88-85	W

Perth Wildcats

LLWWWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	98-105	L
28/10	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	91-99	L
23/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	103-102	W
17/10	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	81-102	L
10/10	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	100-84	W
02/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	92-88	W
26/09	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	97-93	W
24/09	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	98-97	W
19/09	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	79-100	L
14/03	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	75-89	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brisbane Bullets vs Perth Wildcats?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Brisbane Bullets 46% · Perth Wildcats 54%).

How many points are expected in Brisbane Bullets vs Perth Wildcats?

The model estimates 184.3 total points (Brisbane Bullets 91.4 · Perth Wildcats 92.8).