Basketball · Australia NBL · 08/11, 07:00

Prediction: Perth Wildcats vs Cairns Taipans

Team pages: Perth Wildcats · Cairns Taipans

Prediction summary

Estimated points

189.2Total

Perth Wildcats97.5

Cairns Taipans91.7

1X2

66% 34%

Perth Wildcats Cairns Taipans

Recent form · 10 last

Perth Wildcats 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLWLLL

Cairns Taipans 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLWWLL

Head-to-head

Perth Wildcats 5–1 Cairns Taipans (6 last)

Perth Wildcats98-84Cairns Taipans
Perth Wildcats106-69Cairns Taipans
Cairns Taipans78-110Perth Wildcats
Cairns Taipans77-80Perth Wildcats
Perth Wildcats116-125Cairns Taipans
Cairns Taipans92-128Perth Wildcats

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth Wildcats 1482 · Cairns Taipans 1478

	Perth Wildcats	Cairns Taipans
Our model	63%	37%
Market	67%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 189.2 points · Bet365 line 198.5 · -9.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points189.2Perth Wildcats 97.5 · Cairns Taipans 91.7

Match keys

Perth Wildcats is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours Perth Wildcats: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Perth Wildcats	Cairns Taipans
Points F\|A (Last 10)	94.3 / 97.9	92.6 / 97.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	95.4 / 103.4	93.6 / 100.8
Est. result	98	92

Est. total189.2

Line O/U198.5

Diff.9.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.42

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.91

2 (+5.5)1.91

Line ⓘ

Over 198.51.91

Under 198.51.91

Diff.: 7.55 · Est. total: 190.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 4.9%

Time*	1	2
23:15 +36’	1.42	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth Wildcats 5–0–1 Cairns Taipans

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/02/26 Australia NBL	Perth Wildcats	98-84	Cairns Taipans
22/01/26 Australia NBL	Perth Wildcats	106-69	Cairns Taipans
22/10/25 Australia NBL	Cairns Taipans	78-110	Perth Wildcats
10/10/25 Australia NBL	Cairns Taipans	77-80	Perth Wildcats
25/01/25 Australia NBL	Perth Wildcats	116-125	Cairns Taipans
14/12/24 Australia NBL	Cairns Taipans	92-128	Perth Wildcats

Standings · Australia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Sydney Kings	10	7	3	979	881
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	10	7	3	956	908
3	Melbourne United	11	6	5	1061	999
4	Brisbane Bullets	11	6	5	1047	1071
5	Perth Wildcats	10	5	5	943	979
6	Cairns Taipans	12	6	6	1109	1169
7	Adelaide 36ers	11	5	6	1001	1031
8	SE Melbourne Phoenix	10	4	6	969	943
9	New Zealand Breakers	11	4	7	996	1000
10	Illawarra Hawks	12	4	8	1164	1244

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perth Wildcats	Cairns Taipans
Brisbane Bullets	104-109 L	107-85 W
Illawarra Hawks	98-105 L	95-107 L
Melbourne United	103-102 W	97-113 L
New Zealand Breakers	100-84 W	86-84 W
SE Melbourne Phoenix	92-88 W	83-115 L
Adelaide 36ers	98-97 W	69-83 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Perth Wildcats (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Perth Wildcats

LWWWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/11	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	104-109	L
31/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	98-105	L
28/10	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	91-99	L
23/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	103-102	W
17/10	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	81-102	L
10/10	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	100-84	W
02/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	92-88	W
26/09	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	97-93	W
24/09	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	98-97	W
19/09	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	79-100	L

Cairns Taipans

LLWWWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/11	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	95-107	L
31/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	97-113	L
29/10	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	107-85	W
25/10	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	86-84	W
17/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	83-115	L
11/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	110-100	W
08/10	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	97-91	W
03/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	107-95	W
30/09	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	75-98	L
27/09	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	69-83	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth Wildcats vs Cairns Taipans?

Our model gives 66% to Perth Wildcats.

How many points are expected in Perth Wildcats vs Cairns Taipans?

The model estimates 189.2 total points (Perth Wildcats 97.5 · Cairns Taipans 91.7).