Basketball · Australia NBL · 13/11, 09:30

Prediction: Cairns Taipans vs Sydney Kings

Team pages: Cairns Taipans · Sydney Kings

Prediction summary

Estimated points

189Total

Cairns Taipans91.6

Sydney Kings97.4

1X2

34% 66%

Cairns Taipans Sydney Kings

Recent form · 10 last

Cairns Taipans 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Sydney Kings 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Cairns Taipans 1–5 Sydney Kings (6 last)

Sydney Kings111-90Cairns Taipans
Cairns Taipans92-106Sydney Kings
Sydney Kings119-77Cairns Taipans
Sydney Kings74-77Cairns Taipans
Sydney Kings91-87Cairns Taipans
Cairns Taipans75-81Sydney Kings

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cairns Taipans 1490 · Sydney Kings 1578

	Cairns Taipans	Sydney Kings
Our model	50%	50%
Market	30%	70%

Estimated total (ours) 189 points · Bet365 line 193.5 · -4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points189Cairns Taipans 91.6 · Sydney Kings 97.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sydney Kings (rating 1490 vs 1578).
Sydney Kings is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours Sydney Kings: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Cairns Taipans	Sydney Kings
Points F\|A (Last 10)	95.7 / 98	97.8 / 89
Points F\|A (Last 5)	97 / 96.2	96.6 / 89
Est. result	92	97

Est. total189

Line O/U193.5

Diff.4.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.20

21.36

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+6.5)1.91

2 (-6.5)1.91

Line ⓘ

Over 193.51.87

Under 193.51.95

Diff.: 3.25 · Est. total: 190.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 4.8%

Time*	1	2
04:45 +2’	3.20	1.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cairns Taipans 1–0–5 Sydney Kings

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/09/26 Australia NBL	Sydney Kings	111-90	Cairns Taipans
01/02/26 Australia NBL	Cairns Taipans	92-106	Sydney Kings
21/12/25 Australia NBL	Sydney Kings	119-77	Cairns Taipans
28/09/25 Australia NBL	Sydney Kings	74-77	Cairns Taipans
12/01/25 Australia NBL	Sydney Kings	91-87	Cairns Taipans
29/11/24 Australia NBL	Cairns Taipans	75-81	Sydney Kings

Standings · Australia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Sydney Kings	11	8	3	1089	980
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	11	8	3	1035	985
3	Melbourne United	12	7	5	1181	1091
4	Cairns Taipans	13	7	6	1209	1261
5	Adelaide 36ers	12	6	6	1107	1109
6	Brisbane Bullets	12	6	6	1139	1191
7	Perth Wildcats	11	5	6	1035	1079
8	SE Melbourne Phoenix	11	4	7	1068	1053
9	New Zealand Breakers	12	4	8	1073	1079
10	Illawarra Hawks	13	4	9	1242	1350

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cairns Taipans	Sydney Kings
Perth Wildcats	100-92 W	99-91 W
Illawarra Hawks	95-107 L	108-82 W
Melbourne United	97-113 L	95-105 L
Brisbane Bullets	107-85 W	93-78 W
New Zealand Breakers	86-84 W	101-102 L
SE Melbourne Phoenix	83-115 L	110-99 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sydney Kings (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cairns Taipans

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	Perth Wildcats Australia NBL	100-92	W
05/11	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	95-107	L
31/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	97-113	L
29/10	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	107-85	W
25/10	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	86-84	W
17/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	83-115	L
11/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	110-100	W
08/10	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	97-91	W
03/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	107-95	W
30/09	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	75-98	L

Sydney Kings

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	110-99	W
30/10	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	71-68	W
28/10	Perth Wildcats Australia NBL	99-91	W
25/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	95-105	L
22/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	108-82	W
17/10	Perth Wildcats Australia NBL	102-81	W
14/10	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	101-102	L
11/10	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	78-84	L
30/09	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	93-78	W
27/09	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	121-100	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cairns Taipans vs Sydney Kings?

Our model gives 66% to Sydney Kings.

How many points are expected in Cairns Taipans vs Sydney Kings?

The model estimates 189 total points (Cairns Taipans 91.6 · Sydney Kings 97.4).