Basketball · Australia NBL · 12/11, 11:30

Prediction: Perth Wildcats vs Tasmania JackJumpers

Team pages: Perth Wildcats · Tasmania JackJumpers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

187.5Total

Perth Wildcats93.4

Tasmania JackJumpers94.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

Perth Wildcats Tasmania JackJumpers

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Perth Wildcats 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLLLL

Tasmania JackJumpers 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWWLWW

Head-to-head

Perth Wildcats 5–1 Tasmania JackJumpers (6 last)

Tasmania JackJumpers85-94Perth Wildcats
Perth Wildcats101-95Tasmania JackJumpers
Tasmania JackJumpers84-95Perth Wildcats
Perth Wildcats72-75Tasmania JackJumpers
Tasmania JackJumpers73-105Perth Wildcats
Perth Wildcats88-82Tasmania JackJumpers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth Wildcats 1483 · Tasmania JackJumpers 1530

	Perth Wildcats	Tasmania JackJumpers
Our model	56%	44%
Market	46%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 187.5 points · Bet365 line 184.5 · +3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points187.5Perth Wildcats 93.4 · Tasmania JackJumpers 94.1

Match keys

H2H favours Perth Wildcats: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Perth Wildcats	Tasmania JackJumpers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	95.6 / 97.9	93.9 / 89.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	97.6 / 103	89.8 / 82.8
Est. result	93	94

Est. total187.5

Line O/U184.5

Diff.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.05

21.78

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.91

2 (-1.5)1.91

Line ⓘ

Over 184.51.91

Under 184.51.91

Diff.: 3.9 · Est. total: 188.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.05▼	Bet365 2.05
2	1.75 → 1.78▲	Bet365 1.78

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 5%

Time*	1	2
03:45 +1’	2.10	1.75
04:22 +24’	2.05▼	1.78▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth Wildcats 5–0–1 Tasmania JackJumpers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/12/25 Australia NBL	Tasmania JackJumpers	85-94	Perth Wildcats
21/11/25 Australia NBL	Perth Wildcats	101-95	Tasmania JackJumpers
29/10/25 Australia NBL	Tasmania JackJumpers	84-95	Perth Wildcats
20/09/25 Australia NBL	Perth Wildcats	72-75	Tasmania JackJumpers
12/01/25 Australia NBL	Tasmania JackJumpers	73-105	Perth Wildcats
07/11/24 Australia NBL	Perth Wildcats	88-82	Tasmania JackJumpers

Standings · Australia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Sydney Kings	11	8	3	1089	980
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	11	8	3	1035	985
3	Melbourne United	12	7	5	1181	1091
4	Cairns Taipans	13	7	6	1209	1261
5	Adelaide 36ers	12	6	6	1107	1109
6	Brisbane Bullets	12	6	6	1139	1191
7	Perth Wildcats	11	5	6	1035	1079
8	SE Melbourne Phoenix	11	4	7	1068	1053
9	New Zealand Breakers	12	4	8	1073	1079
10	Illawarra Hawks	13	4	9	1242	1350

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perth Wildcats	Tasmania JackJumpers
Cairns Taipans	92-100 L	87-93 L
Brisbane Bullets	104-109 L	106-85 W
Illawarra Hawks	98-105 L	122-112 W
Sydney Kings	91-99 L	68-71 L
Melbourne United	103-102 W	84-82 W
New Zealand Breakers	100-84 W	79-77 W
SE Melbourne Phoenix	92-88 W	98-89 W
Adelaide 36ers	98-97 W	88-94 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tasmania JackJumpers (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Perth Wildcats

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	92-100	L
04/11	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	104-109	L
31/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	98-105	L
28/10	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	91-99	L
23/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	103-102	W
17/10	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	81-102	L
10/10	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	100-84	W
02/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	92-88	W
26/09	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	97-93	W
24/09	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	98-97	W

Tasmania JackJumpers

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/11	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	79-77	W
01/11	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	98-89	W
30/10	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	68-71	L
21/10	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	106-85	W
18/10	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	98-92	W
16/10	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	88-94	L
09/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	122-112	W
03/10	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	109-99	W
01/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	84-82	W
23/09	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	87-93	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth Wildcats vs Tasmania JackJumpers?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Perth Wildcats 48% · Tasmania JackJumpers 52%).

How many points are expected in Perth Wildcats vs Tasmania JackJumpers?

The model estimates 187.5 total points (Perth Wildcats 93.4 · Tasmania JackJumpers 94.1).