Basketball · Australia NBL · 29/10, 09:30

Prediction: Brisbane Bullets vs Cairns Taipans

Team pages: Brisbane Bullets · Cairns Taipans

Prediction summary

Estimated points

184.7Total

Brisbane Bullets92.5

Cairns Taipans92.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

51% 49%

Brisbane Bullets Cairns Taipans

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Brisbane Bullets 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Cairns Taipans 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWWWLW

Head-to-head

Brisbane Bullets 1–5 Cairns Taipans (6 last)

Cairns Taipans97-91Brisbane Bullets
Brisbane Bullets72-81Cairns Taipans
Cairns Taipans88-83Brisbane Bullets
Brisbane Bullets113-85Cairns Taipans
Cairns Taipans83-82Brisbane Bullets
Cairns Taipans100-88Brisbane Bullets

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brisbane Bullets 1467 · Cairns Taipans 1517

	Brisbane Bullets	Cairns Taipans
Our model	56%	44%
Market	50%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 184.7 points · Bet365 line 187.5 · -2.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points184.7Brisbane Bullets 92.5 · Cairns Taipans 92.2

Match keys

H2H favours Cairns Taipans: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Brisbane Bullets	Cairns Taipans
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.9 / 98.2	89.4 / 97.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	97.6 / 99.6	96.6 / 97
Est. result	93	92

Est. total184.7

Line O/U187.5

Diff.2.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.91

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.05

2 (+1.5)1.78

Line ⓘ

Over 187.51.87

Under 187.51.95

Diff.: 0.7 · Est. total: 188.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 4.7%

Time*	1	2
02:40 +7’	1.91	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane Bullets 1–0–5 Cairns Taipans

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/10/26 Australia NBL	Cairns Taipans	97-91	Brisbane Bullets
08/02/26 Australia NBL	Brisbane Bullets	72-81	Cairns Taipans
12/01/26 Australia NBL	Cairns Taipans	88-83	Brisbane Bullets
30/10/25 Australia NBL	Brisbane Bullets	113-85	Cairns Taipans
26/09/25 Australia NBL	Cairns Taipans	83-82	Brisbane Bullets
06/02/25 Australia NBL	Cairns Taipans	100-88	Brisbane Bullets

Standings · Australia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Tasmania JackJumpers	8	6	2	790	748
2	Perth Wildcats	7	5	2	650	666
3	Sydney Kings	8	5	3	809	722
4	Cairns Taipans	9	5	4	810	864
5	Brisbane Bullets	8	4	4	757	771
6	SE Melbourne Phoenix	9	4	5	880	845
7	Melbourne United	9	4	5	854	828
8	New Zealand Breakers	9	4	5	821	798
9	Adelaide 36ers	9	4	5	804	834
10	Illawarra Hawks	10	2	8	952	1051

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brisbane Bullets	Cairns Taipans
Illawarra Hawks	98-81 W	110-100 W
Tasmania JackJumpers	85-106 L	93-87 W
SE Melbourne Phoenix	115-105 W	83-115 L
Sydney Kings	78-93 L	90-111 L
New Zealand Breakers	88-85 W	86-84 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Brisbane Bullets (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brisbane Bullets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	98-81	W
21/10	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	85-106	L
15/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	115-105	W
08/10	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	91-97	L
03/10	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	99-109	L
30/09	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	78-93	L
25/09	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	103-95	W
22/09	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	88-85	W
20/02	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	77-117	L
13/02	Perth Wildcats Australia NBL	75-94	L

Cairns Taipans

LLWLLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	86-84	W
17/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	83-115	L
11/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	110-100	W
08/10	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	97-91	W
03/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	107-95	W
30/09	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	75-98	L
27/09	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	69-83	L
23/09	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	93-87	W
20/09	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	90-111	L
19/02	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	84-115	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brisbane Bullets vs Cairns Taipans?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Brisbane Bullets 51% · Cairns Taipans 49%).

How many points are expected in Brisbane Bullets vs Cairns Taipans?

The model estimates 184.7 total points (Brisbane Bullets 92.5 · Cairns Taipans 92.2).