Basketball · Australia NBL · 15/11, 07:00

Prediction: Brisbane Bullets vs Tasmania JackJumpers

Team pages: Brisbane Bullets · Tasmania JackJumpers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

189.4Total

Brisbane Bullets94.4

Tasmania JackJumpers95.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

Brisbane Bullets Tasmania JackJumpers

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Brisbane Bullets 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Tasmania JackJumpers 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Brisbane Bullets 1–5 Tasmania JackJumpers (6 last)

Tasmania JackJumpers106-85Brisbane Bullets
Brisbane Bullets99-109Tasmania JackJumpers
Tasmania JackJumpers114-70Brisbane Bullets
Tasmania JackJumpers81-83Brisbane Bullets
Brisbane Bullets82-84Tasmania JackJumpers
Tasmania JackJumpers95-86Brisbane Bullets

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brisbane Bullets 1467 · Tasmania JackJumpers 1542

	Brisbane Bullets	Tasmania JackJumpers
Our model	52%	48%
Market	46%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 189.4 points · Bet365 line 185.5 · +3.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points189.4Brisbane Bullets 94.4 · Tasmania JackJumpers 95.1

Match keys

H2H favours Tasmania JackJumpers: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Brisbane Bullets	Tasmania JackJumpers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	96 / 101.2	94.4 / 89.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	94.4 / 102.8	88.6 / 84
Est. result	94	95

Est. total189.4

Line O/U185.5

Diff.3.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.05

21.78

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.91

2 (-1.5)1.91

Line ⓘ

Over 185.51.91

Under 185.51.91

Diff.: 5.25 · Est. total: 190.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
2	1.78 → 1.78	Bet365 1.78

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5%

Time*	1	2
01:20 +29’	2.05	1.78

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane Bullets 1–0–5 Tasmania JackJumpers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/10/26 Australia NBL	Tasmania JackJumpers	106-85	Brisbane Bullets
03/10/26 Australia NBL	Brisbane Bullets	99-109	Tasmania JackJumpers
06/02/26 Australia NBL	Tasmania JackJumpers	114-70	Brisbane Bullets
08/11/25 Australia NBL	Tasmania JackJumpers	81-83	Brisbane Bullets
04/10/25 Australia NBL	Brisbane Bullets	82-84	Tasmania JackJumpers
29/12/24 Australia NBL	Tasmania JackJumpers	95-86	Brisbane Bullets

Standings · Australia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Sydney Kings	12	8	4	1171	1064
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	12	8	4	1127	1083
3	Cairns Taipans	14	8	6	1293	1343
4	Melbourne United	13	7	6	1274	1192
5	Adelaide 36ers	13	7	6	1208	1202
6	Perth Wildcats	12	6	6	1133	1171
7	Brisbane Bullets	13	6	7	1229	1285
8	New Zealand Breakers	13	5	8	1167	1169
9	Illawarra Hawks	14	5	9	1362	1460
10	SE Melbourne Phoenix	12	4	8	1178	1173

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brisbane Bullets	Tasmania JackJumpers
New Zealand Breakers	90-94 L	79-77 W
Melbourne United	92-120 L	84-82 W
Perth Wildcats	109-104 W	92-98 L
Adelaide 36ers	96-89 W	88-94 L
Illawarra Hawks	98-81 W	122-112 W
SE Melbourne Phoenix	115-105 W	98-89 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Brisbane Bullets (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brisbane Bullets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/11	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	90-94	L
07/11	Melbourne United Australia NBL	92-120	L
04/11	Perth Wildcats Australia NBL	109-104	W
01/11	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	96-89	W
29/10	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	85-107	L
24/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	98-81	W
21/10	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	85-106	L
15/10	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	115-105	W
08/10	Cairns Taipans Australia NBL	91-97	L
03/10	Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL	99-109	L

Tasmania JackJumpers

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/11	Perth Wildcats Australia NBL	92-98	L
06/11	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	79-77	W
01/11	SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL	98-89	W
30/10	Sydney Kings Australia NBL	68-71	L
21/10	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	106-85	W
18/10	New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL	98-92	W
16/10	Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL	88-94	L
09/10	Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL	122-112	W
03/10	Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL	109-99	W
01/10	Melbourne United Australia NBL	84-82	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brisbane Bullets vs Tasmania JackJumpers?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Brisbane Bullets 48% · Tasmania JackJumpers 52%).

How many points are expected in Brisbane Bullets vs Tasmania JackJumpers?

The model estimates 189.4 total points (Brisbane Bullets 94.4 · Tasmania JackJumpers 95.1).