Basketball · Australia NBL · 14/11, 11:30
Prediction: Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks
Team pages: Perth Wildcats · Illawarra Hawks
Prediction summary
Estimated points
197.6Total
Perth Wildcats101.1
Illawarra Hawks96.5
1X2
Perth Wildcats
Illawarra Hawks
Recent form · 10 last
Perth Wildcats
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Illawarra Hawks
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Perth Wildcats
3–3
Illawarra Hawks
(6 last)
- Perth Wildcats98-105Illawarra Hawks
- Illawarra Hawks99-106Perth Wildcats
- Perth Wildcats92-87Illawarra Hawks
- Perth Wildcats84-85Illawarra Hawks
- Perth Wildcats92-84Illawarra Hawks
- Illawarra Hawks120-88Perth Wildcats
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Perth Wildcats 1487 · Illawarra Hawks 1463
| Perth Wildcats | Illawarra Hawks | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 63% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
197.6 points · Bet365 line 198.5 · -0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points197.6Perth Wildcats 101.1 · Illawarra Hawks 96.5
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Perth Wildcats | Illawarra Hawks | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 95.6 / 97.4 | 97.2 / 104.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 96.6 / 101 | 98.2 / 101.4 |
| Est. result | 101 | 97 |
Est. total197.6
Line O/U198.5
Diff.0.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth Wildcats 3–0–3 Illawarra Hawks
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 Australia NBL | Perth Wildcats | 98-105 | Illawarra Hawks |
| 31/01/26 Australia NBL | Illawarra Hawks | 99-106 | Perth Wildcats |
| 16/01/26 Australia NBL | Perth Wildcats | 92-87 | Illawarra Hawks |
| 25/10/25 Australia NBL | Perth Wildcats | 84-85 | Illawarra Hawks |
| 02/10/25 Australia NBL | Perth Wildcats | 92-84 | Illawarra Hawks |
| 22/12/24 Australia NBL | Illawarra Hawks | 120-88 | Perth Wildcats |
Standings · Australia NBL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sydney Kings | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1089 | 980 | 0 |
| 2 | Tasmania JackJumpers | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1127 | 1083 | 0 |
| 3 | Melbourne United | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1274 | 1192 | 0 |
| 4 | Adelaide 36ers | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1208 | 1202 | 0 |
| 5 | Cairns Taipans | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1209 | 1261 | 0 |
| 6 | Perth Wildcats | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1133 | 1171 | 0 |
| 7 | Brisbane Bullets | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1139 | 1191 | 0 |
| 8 | Illawarra Hawks | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1362 | 1460 | 0 |
| 9 | SE Melbourne Phoenix | 12 | 4 | 8 | 1178 | 1173 | 0 |
| 10 | New Zealand Breakers | 12 | 4 | 8 | 1073 | 1079 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Perth Wildcats | Illawarra Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Tasmania JackJumpers | 98-92 W | 112-122 L |
| Cairns Taipans | 92-100 L | 107-95 W |
| Brisbane Bullets | 104-109 L | 81-98 L |
| Sydney Kings | 91-99 L | 82-108 L |
| Melbourne United | 103-102 W | 91-89 W |
| SE Melbourne Phoenix | 92-88 W | 120-110 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Perth Wildcats
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL |
98-92 | W |
| 08/11 | Cairns Taipans Australia NBL |
92-100 | L |
| 04/11 | Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL |
104-109 | L |
| 31/10 | Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL |
98-105 | L |
| 28/10 | Sydney Kings Australia NBL |
91-99 | L |
| 23/10 | Melbourne United Australia NBL |
103-102 | W |
| 17/10 | Sydney Kings Australia NBL |
81-102 | L |
| 10/10 | New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL |
100-84 | W |
| 02/10 | SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL |
92-88 | W |
| 26/09 | New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL |
97-93 | W |
Illawarra Hawks
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL |
120-110 | W |
| 07/11 | Adelaide 36ers Australia NBL |
78-106 | L |
| 05/11 | Cairns Taipans Australia NBL |
107-95 | W |
| 31/10 | Perth Wildcats Australia NBL |
105-98 | W |
| 24/10 | Brisbane Bullets Australia NBL |
81-98 | L |
| 22/10 | Sydney Kings Australia NBL |
82-108 | L |
| 18/10 | Melbourne United Australia NBL |
91-89 | W |
| 11/10 | Cairns Taipans Australia NBL |
100-110 | L |
| 09/10 | Tasmania JackJumpers Australia NBL |
112-122 | L |
| 04/10 | SE Melbourne Phoenix Australia NBL |
96-113 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks?
Our model gives 63% to Perth Wildcats.
How many points are expected in Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks?
The model estimates 197.6 total points (Perth Wildcats 101.1 · Illawarra Hawks 96.5).