Prediction: Canterbury Rams vs Manawatu Jets
Estimated 187.9 total points (Canterbury Rams 99.5 · Manawatu Jets 88.4).
Recent form leaves Canterbury Rams with 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Manawatu Jets has piled up 4-0-6 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Canterbury Rams won 5 and Manawatu Jets 1.
| Canterbury Rams | Manawatu Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 25% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canterbury Rams (rating 1565 vs 1465).
- Canterbury Rams is a clear favourite (72% market).
- H2H favours Canterbury Rams: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Canterbury Rams | Manawatu Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 98.2 / 84.3 | 93 / 98.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 96.4 / 81.4 | 89.6 / 93.4 |
| Est. result | 100 | 88 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Canterbury Rams 5–0–1 Manawatu Jets
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 New Zealand NBL | Manawatu Jets | 93-100 | Canterbury Rams |
| 22/06/25 New Zealand NBL | Manawatu Jets | 92-86 | Canterbury Rams |
| 11/04/25 New Zealand NBL | Canterbury Rams | 92-81 | Manawatu Jets |
| 04/03/25 New Zealand NBL | Canterbury Rams | 83-51 | Manawatu Jets |
| 30/06/24 New Zealand NBL | Manawatu Jets | 94-121 | Canterbury Rams |
| 15/06/24 New Zealand NBL | Canterbury Rams | 107-66 | Manawatu Jets |
Standings · New Zealand NBL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southland Sharks | 17 | 14 | 3 | 1647 | 1516 | 28 |
| 2 | Auckland Tuatara | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1434 | 1261 | 26 |
| 3 | Canterbury Rams | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1468 | 1286 | 22 |
| 4 | Wellington Saints | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1387 | 1248 | 20 |
| 5 | Otago Nuggets | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1294 | 1311 | 14 |
| 6 | Tauranga Whai | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1278 | 1360 | 12 |
| 7 | Taranaki Airs | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1335 | 1431 | 12 |
| 8 | Franklin Bulls | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1345 | 1441 | 10 |
| 9 | Manawatu Jets | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1381 | 1496 | 10 |
| 10 | Nelson Giants | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1289 | 1364 | 8 |
| 11 | Hawke’s Bay Hawks | 16 | 3 | 13 | 1412 | 1556 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Canterbury Rams | Manawatu Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Southland Sharks | 98-103 L | 78-102 L |
| Tauranga Whai | 101-69 W | 92-96 L |
| Otago Nuggets | 93-58 W | 104-97 W |
| Nelson Giants | 93-74 W | 79-92 L |
| Taranaki Airs | 113-86 W | 89-77 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Canterbury Rams (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Canterbury Rams
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL |
98-103 | L |
| 28/06 | Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL |
93-77 | W |
| 19/06 | Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL |
101-69 | W |
| 13/06 | Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL |
93-58 | W |
| 03/06 | Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL |
97-100 | L |
| 30/05 | Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL |
93-74 | W |
| 24/05 | Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL |
113-86 | W |
| 22/05 | Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL |
100-93 | W |
| 17/05 | Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL |
95-104 | L |
| 09/05 | Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL |
99-79 | W |
Manawatu Jets
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL |
104-97 | W |
| 17/06 | Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL |
79-92 | L |
| 14/06 | Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL |
92-96 | L |
| 01/06 | Wellington Saints New Zealand NBL |
84-105 | L |
| 29/05 | Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL |
89-77 | W |
| 22/05 | Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL |
93-100 | L |
| 15/05 | Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL |
99-97 | W |
| 13/05 | Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL |
112-103 | W |
| 09/05 | Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL |
78-102 | L |
| 03/05 | Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL |
100-118 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Canterbury Rams vs Manawatu Jets?
Our model gives 72% to Canterbury Rams.
How many points are expected in Canterbury Rams vs Manawatu Jets?
The model estimates 187.9 total points (Canterbury Rams 99.5 · Manawatu Jets 88.4).