Basketball · New Zealand NBL · 13/07, 09:00

Prediction: Manawatu Jets vs Nelson Giants

Prediction summary

Estimated points

177.2Total

Manawatu Jets91.7

Nelson Giants85.5

1X2

67% 33%

Manawatu Jets Nelson Giants

Recent form · 10 last

Manawatu Jets 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Nelson Giants 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Manawatu Jets 1–5 Nelson Giants (6 last)

Model analysis

Estimated points177.2Manawatu Jets 91.7 · Nelson Giants 85.5

Match keys

Manawatu Jets is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours Nelson Giants: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Manawatu Jets	Nelson Giants
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.4 / 95.4	81.6 / 87.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87.4 / 94.4	88.4 / 89.2
Est. result	92	86

Est. total177.2

Line O/U183

Diff.5.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Manawatu Jets 1–0–5 Nelson Giants

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 New Zealand NBL	Nelson Giants	92-79	Manawatu Jets
08/06/25 New Zealand NBL	Nelson Giants	109-89	Manawatu Jets
04/05/25 New Zealand NBL	Manawatu Jets	112-104	Nelson Giants
22/06/24 New Zealand NBL	Manawatu Jets	77-104	Nelson Giants
17/04/24 New Zealand NBL	Nelson Giants	92-77	Manawatu Jets
16/03/24 Club Friendlies	Nelson Giants	77-64	Manawatu Jets

Standings · New Zealand NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Auckland Tuatara	16	14	2	1543	1320	28
2	Southland Sharks	17	14	3	1647	1516	28
3	Canterbury Rams	17	13	4	1660	1441	26
4	Wellington Saints	16	12	4	1587	1433	24
5	Otago Nuggets	17	8	9	1476	1490	16
6	Taranaki Airs	17	6	11	1425	1524	12
7	Manawatu Jets	17	6	11	1543	1683	12
8	Tauranga Whai	17	6	11	1432	1578	12
9	Nelson Giants	16	5	11	1377	1449	10
10	Franklin Bulls	17	5	12	1518	1621	10
11	Hawke’s Bay Hawks	17	3	14	1500	1653	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Manawatu Jets	Nelson Giants
Hawke’s Bay Hawks	97-88 W	94-85 W
Canterbury Rams	65-99 L	74-93 L
Otago Nuggets	104-97 W	63-88 L
Tauranga Whai	92-96 L	58-69 L
Wellington Saints	84-105 L	109-111 L
Franklin Bulls	112-103 W	88-85 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Manawatu Jets (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manawatu Jets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/07	Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL	97-88	W
03/07	Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL	65-99	L
25/06	Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL	104-97	W
17/06	Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL	79-92	L
14/06	Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL	92-96	L
01/06	Wellington Saints New Zealand NBL	84-105	L
29/05	Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL	89-77	W
22/05	Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL	93-100	L
15/05	Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL	99-97	W
13/05	Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL	112-103	W

Nelson Giants

LLWLLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/07	Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL	71-83	L
05/07	Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL	88-85	W
28/06	Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL	82-88	L
27/06	Wellington Saints New Zealand NBL	109-111	L
17/06	Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL	92-79	W
13/06	Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL	85-95	L
06/06	Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL	58-69	L
04/06	Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL	94-85	W
30/05	Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL	74-93	L
24/05	Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL	63-88	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manawatu Jets vs Nelson Giants?

Our model gives 67% to Manawatu Jets.

How many points are expected in Manawatu Jets vs Nelson Giants?

The model estimates 177.2 total points (Manawatu Jets 91.7 · Nelson Giants 85.5).