Prediction: Tauranga Whai vs Wellington Saints
Estimated 177.5 total points (Tauranga Whai 83.2 · Wellington Saints 94.3).
Recent form leaves Tauranga Whai with 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; Wellington Saints has piled up 8-0-2 in the same span. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Tauranga Whai and 4 for Wellington Saints.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wellington Saints (rating 1465 vs 1585).
- H2H favours Wellington Saints: 4-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Tauranga Whai | Wellington Saints | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.7 / 90.9 | 97.6 / 87.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82.6 / 96.6 | 93.4 / 90.4 |
| Est. result | 83 | 94 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tauranga Whai 1–0–4 Wellington Saints
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/25 New Zealand NBL | Wellington Saints | 93-68 | Tauranga Whai |
| 21/06/25 New Zealand NBL | Wellington Saints | 103-77 | Tauranga Whai |
| 23/05/25 New Zealand NBL | Tauranga Whai | 82-78 | Wellington Saints |
| 03/07/24 New Zealand NBL | Wellington Saints | 100-94 | Tauranga Whai |
| 29/05/24 New Zealand NBL | Tauranga Whai | 90-102 | Wellington Saints |
Standings · New Zealand NBL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland Tuatara | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1543 | 1320 | 28 |
| 2 | Southland Sharks | 17 | 14 | 3 | 1647 | 1516 | 28 |
| 3 | Canterbury Rams | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1567 | 1351 | 24 |
| 4 | Wellington Saints | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1478 | 1338 | 22 |
| 5 | Otago Nuggets | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1384 | 1402 | 14 |
| 6 | Taranaki Airs | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1335 | 1431 | 12 |
| 7 | Tauranga Whai | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1337 | 1469 | 12 |
| 8 | Nelson Giants | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1377 | 1449 | 10 |
| 9 | Franklin Bulls | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1430 | 1529 | 10 |
| 10 | Manawatu Jets | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1446 | 1595 | 10 |
| 11 | Hawke’s Bay Hawks | 16 | 3 | 13 | 1412 | 1556 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tauranga Whai | Wellington Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Auckland Tuatara | 59-109 L | 88-96 L |
| Franklin Bulls | 93-79 W | 81-67 W |
| Southland Sharks | 96-102 L | 90-104 L |
| Manawatu Jets | 96-92 W | 105-84 W |
| Taranaki Airs | 73-85 L | 81-71 W |
| Nelson Giants | 69-58 W | 111-109 W |
| Hawke’s Bay Hawks | 94-88 W | 107-79 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Wellington Saints (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tauranga Whai
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL |
59-109 | L |
| 27/06 | Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL |
93-79 | W |
| 24/06 | Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL |
96-102 | L |
| 19/06 | Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL |
69-101 | L |
| 14/06 | Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL |
96-92 | W |
| 12/06 | Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL |
73-85 | L |
| 06/06 | Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL |
69-58 | W |
| 30/05 | Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL |
94-88 | W |
| 23/05 | Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL |
71-96 | L |
| 15/05 | Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL |
97-99 | L |
Wellington Saints
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL |
91-90 | W |
| 27/06 | Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL |
111-109 | W |
| 21/06 | Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL |
81-67 | W |
| 14/06 | Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL |
88-96 | L |
| 07/06 | Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL |
96-90 | W |
| 01/06 | Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL |
105-84 | W |
| 25/05 | Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL |
107-79 | W |
| 21/05 | Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL |
90-104 | L |
| 16/05 | Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL |
81-71 | W |
| 10/05 | Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL |
126-88 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tauranga Whai vs Wellington Saints?
Our model gives 54% to Wellington Saints.
How many points are expected in Tauranga Whai vs Wellington Saints?
The model estimates 177.5 total points (Tauranga Whai 83.2 · Wellington Saints 94.3).