Prediction: Manawatu Jets vs Hawke’s Bay Hawks
Estimated 187.8 total points (Manawatu Jets 95 · Hawke’s Bay Hawks 92.8).
Over its last 10 matches, Manawatu Jets sits at 4-0-6 (W-D-L), while Hawke’s Bay Hawks arrives on a 2-0-8 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Manawatu Jets won 2 and Hawke’s Bay Hawks 4.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manawatu Jets (rating 1474 vs 1412).
- Manawatu Jets is a clear favourite (71% market).
- H2H favours Hawke’s Bay Hawks: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Manawatu Jets | Hawke’s Bay Hawks | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 89.5 / 96.8 | 85.5 / 97.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 84.8 / 97.8 | 83.8 / 97.2 |
| Est. result | 95 | 93 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Manawatu Jets 2–0–4 Hawke’s Bay Hawks
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 New Zealand NBL | Hawke’s Bay Hawks | 102-109 | Manawatu Jets |
| 18/04/25 New Zealand NBL | Manawatu Jets | 103-91 | Hawke’s Bay Hawks |
| 15/03/25 New Zealand NBL | Hawke’s Bay Hawks | 103-100 | Manawatu Jets |
| 06/07/24 New Zealand NBL | Hawke’s Bay Hawks | 97-78 | Manawatu Jets |
| 11/04/24 New Zealand NBL | Manawatu Jets | 89-92 | Hawke’s Bay Hawks |
| 15/07/23 New Zealand NBL | Hawke’s Bay Hawks | 106-81 | Manawatu Jets |
Standings · New Zealand NBL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland Tuatara | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1543 | 1320 | 28 |
| 2 | Southland Sharks | 17 | 14 | 3 | 1647 | 1516 | 28 |
| 3 | Canterbury Rams | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1567 | 1351 | 24 |
| 4 | Wellington Saints | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1478 | 1338 | 22 |
| 5 | Otago Nuggets | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1384 | 1402 | 14 |
| 6 | Taranaki Airs | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1335 | 1431 | 12 |
| 7 | Tauranga Whai | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1337 | 1469 | 12 |
| 8 | Nelson Giants | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1377 | 1449 | 10 |
| 9 | Franklin Bulls | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1430 | 1529 | 10 |
| 10 | Manawatu Jets | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1446 | 1595 | 10 |
| 11 | Hawke’s Bay Hawks | 16 | 3 | 13 | 1412 | 1556 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Manawatu Jets | Hawke’s Bay Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Canterbury Rams | 65-99 L | 77-93 L |
| Nelson Giants | 79-92 L | 85-94 L |
| Tauranga Whai | 92-96 L | 88-94 L |
| Wellington Saints | 84-105 L | 79-107 L |
| Taranaki Airs | 89-77 W | 74-96 L |
| Franklin Bulls | 112-103 W | 101-95 W |
| Southland Sharks | 78-102 L | 93-117 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 5 L | 1 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Manawatu Jets (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manawatu Jets
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL |
65-99 | L |
| 25/06 | Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL |
104-97 | W |
| 17/06 | Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL |
79-92 | L |
| 14/06 | Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL |
92-96 | L |
| 01/06 | Wellington Saints New Zealand NBL |
84-105 | L |
| 29/05 | Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL |
89-77 | W |
| 22/05 | Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL |
93-100 | L |
| 15/05 | Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL |
99-97 | W |
| 13/05 | Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL |
112-103 | W |
| 09/05 | Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL |
78-102 | L |
Hawke’s Bay Hawks
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL |
74-96 | L |
| 28/06 | Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL |
77-93 | L |
| 22/06 | Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL |
93-117 | L |
| 20/06 | Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL |
74-85 | L |
| 13/06 | Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL |
101-95 | W |
| 04/06 | Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL |
85-94 | L |
| 30/05 | Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL |
88-94 | L |
| 25/05 | Wellington Saints New Zealand NBL |
79-107 | L |
| 23/05 | Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL |
82-98 | L |
| 17/05 | Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL |
102-96 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manawatu Jets vs Hawke’s Bay Hawks?
Our model gives 71% to Manawatu Jets.
How many points are expected in Manawatu Jets vs Hawke’s Bay Hawks?
The model estimates 187.8 total points (Manawatu Jets 95 · Hawke’s Bay Hawks 92.8).