Basketball · New Zealand NBL · 12/07, 08:00

Prediction: Auckland Tuatara vs Otago Nuggets

Prediction summary

Estimated points

175.3Total

Auckland Tuatara92.3

Otago Nuggets83.1

1X2

79% 21%

Auckland Tuatara Otago Nuggets

Recent form · 10 last

Auckland Tuatara 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Otago Nuggets 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Auckland Tuatara 6–0 Otago Nuggets (6 last)

Model analysis

Estimated points175.3Auckland Tuatara 92.3 · Otago Nuggets 83.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Auckland Tuatara (rating 1611 vs 1469).
Auckland Tuatara is a clear favourite (79% market).
H2H favours Auckland Tuatara: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Auckland Tuatara	Otago Nuggets
Points F\|A (Last 10)	96.3 / 79.5	87.8 / 89.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	93.6 / 74.4	92 / 89.4
Est. result	92	83

Est. total175.3

Line O/U175

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Auckland Tuatara 6–0–0 Otago Nuggets

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 New Zealand NBL	Otago Nuggets	72-98	Auckland Tuatara
30/04/25 New Zealand NBL	Auckland Tuatara	83-73	Otago Nuggets
06/04/25 New Zealand NBL	Otago Nuggets	94-97	Auckland Tuatara
19/06/24 New Zealand NBL	Auckland Tuatara	102-70	Otago Nuggets
16/05/24 New Zealand NBL	Otago Nuggets	78-87	Auckland Tuatara
18/05/23 New Zealand NBL	Otago Nuggets	84-93	Auckland Tuatara

Standings · New Zealand NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Auckland Tuatara	16	14	2	1543	1320	28
2	Southland Sharks	17	14	3	1647	1516	28
3	Canterbury Rams	17	13	4	1660	1441	26
4	Wellington Saints	15	11	4	1478	1338	22
5	Otago Nuggets	17	8	9	1476	1490	16
6	Taranaki Airs	17	6	11	1425	1524	12
7	Tauranga Whai	16	6	10	1337	1469	12
8	Nelson Giants	16	5	11	1377	1449	10
9	Franklin Bulls	17	5	12	1518	1621	10
10	Manawatu Jets	16	5	11	1446	1595	10
11	Hawke’s Bay Hawks	16	3	13	1412	1556	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Auckland Tuatara	Otago Nuggets
Nelson Giants	88-82 W	88-63 W
Wellington Saints	96-88 W	90-91 L
Taranaki Airs	90-69 W	90-77 W
Canterbury Rams	100-97 W	58-93 L
Franklin Bulls	107-72 W	92-88 W
Southland Sharks	94-111 L	89-99 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Auckland Tuatara (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Auckland Tuatara

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/07	Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL	109-59	W
28/06	Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL	88-82	W
20/06	Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL	85-74	W
14/06	Wellington Saints New Zealand NBL	96-88	W
06/06	Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL	90-69	W
03/06	Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL	100-97	W
31/05	Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL	107-72	W
23/05	Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL	96-71	W
16/05	Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL	98-72	W
14/05	Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL	94-111	L

Otago Nuggets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/07	Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL	92-88	W
04/07	Wellington Saints New Zealand NBL	90-91	L
27/06	Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL	90-77	W
25/06	Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL	97-104	L
20/06	Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL	91-87	W
13/06	Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL	58-93	L
07/06	Wellington Saints New Zealand NBL	90-96	L
05/06	Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL	93-94	L
31/05	Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL	89-99	L
24/05	Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL	88-63	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Auckland Tuatara vs Otago Nuggets?

Our model gives 79% to Auckland Tuatara.

How many points are expected in Auckland Tuatara vs Otago Nuggets?

The model estimates 175.3 total points (Auckland Tuatara 92.3 · Otago Nuggets 83.1).