Basketball · New Zealand NBL · 12/07, 05:00
Prediction: Wellington Saints vs Canterbury Rams
Prediction summary
Estimated points
183.7Total
Wellington Saints88.1
Canterbury Rams95.6
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Wellington Saints
Canterbury Rams
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Recent form · 10 last
Wellington Saints
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Canterbury Rams
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wellington Saints
1–5
Canterbury Rams
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points183.7Wellington Saints 88.1 · Canterbury Rams 95.6
Match keys
- H2H favours Canterbury Rams: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Wellington Saints | Canterbury Rams | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 95.9 / 88.5 | 98 / 81.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 96 / 91.4 | 96.8 / 80.8 |
| Est. result | 88 | 96 |
Est. total183.7
Line O/U186
Diff.2.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wellington Saints 1–0–5 Canterbury Rams
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 New Zealand NBL | Canterbury Rams | 111-89 | Wellington Saints |
| 01/07/25 New Zealand NBL | Wellington Saints | 90-84 | Canterbury Rams |
| 30/03/25 New Zealand NBL | Canterbury Rams | 99-81 | Wellington Saints |
| 22/06/24 New Zealand NBL | Canterbury Rams | 110-85 | Wellington Saints |
| 25/05/24 New Zealand NBL | Wellington Saints | 84-107 | Canterbury Rams |
| 16/03/24 Club Friendlies | Wellington Saints | 84-106 | Canterbury Rams |
Standings · New Zealand NBL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland Tuatara | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1543 | 1320 | 28 |
| 2 | Southland Sharks | 17 | 14 | 3 | 1647 | 1516 | 28 |
| 3 | Canterbury Rams | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1660 | 1441 | 26 |
| 4 | Wellington Saints | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1478 | 1338 | 22 |
| 5 | Otago Nuggets | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1476 | 1490 | 16 |
| 6 | Taranaki Airs | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1425 | 1524 | 12 |
| 7 | Tauranga Whai | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1337 | 1469 | 12 |
| 8 | Nelson Giants | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1377 | 1449 | 10 |
| 9 | Franklin Bulls | 17 | 5 | 12 | 1518 | 1621 | 10 |
| 10 | Manawatu Jets | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1446 | 1595 | 10 |
| 11 | Hawke’s Bay Hawks | 16 | 3 | 13 | 1412 | 1556 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wellington Saints | Canterbury Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Tauranga Whai | 109-95 W | 101-69 W |
| Otago Nuggets | 91-90 W | 93-58 W |
| Nelson Giants | 111-109 W | 93-74 W |
| Auckland Tuatara | 88-96 L | 97-100 L |
| Manawatu Jets | 105-84 W | 99-65 W |
| Hawke’s Bay Hawks | 107-79 W | 93-77 W |
| Southland Sharks | 90-104 L | 98-103 L |
| Taranaki Airs | 81-71 W | 93-90 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 2 L | 6 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Canterbury Rams (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wellington Saints
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL |
109-95 | W |
| 04/07 | Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL |
91-90 | W |
| 27/06 | Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL |
111-109 | W |
| 21/06 | Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL |
81-67 | W |
| 14/06 | Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL |
88-96 | L |
| 07/06 | Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL |
96-90 | W |
| 01/06 | Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL |
105-84 | W |
| 25/05 | Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL |
107-79 | W |
| 21/05 | Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL |
90-104 | L |
| 16/05 | Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL |
81-71 | W |
Canterbury Rams
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL |
93-90 | W |
| 03/07 | Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL |
99-65 | W |
| 01/07 | Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL |
98-103 | L |
| 28/06 | Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL |
93-77 | W |
| 19/06 | Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL |
101-69 | W |
| 13/06 | Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL |
93-58 | W |
| 03/06 | Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL |
97-100 | L |
| 30/05 | Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL |
93-74 | W |
| 24/05 | Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL |
113-86 | W |
| 22/05 | Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL |
100-93 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wellington Saints vs Canterbury Rams?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Wellington Saints 63% · Canterbury Rams 37%).
How many points are expected in Wellington Saints vs Canterbury Rams?
The model estimates 183.7 total points (Wellington Saints 88.1 · Canterbury Rams 95.6).