Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 11/11, 13:00

Prediction: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert

Team pages: Borna Gojo · Ugo Humbert

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Borna Gojo Ugo Humbert
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Borna Gojo 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLLLWWW
Ugo Humbert 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Borna Gojo 1568 · Ugo Humbert 1455
Borna GojoUgo Humbert
Our model66%34%
Market32%68%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borna Gojo (rating 1568 vs 1455).
  • Borna Gojo is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Borna GojoUgo Humbert
Win %70%30%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91-1.5
Games (G-P)12.5-11.812.1-13.3
Aces127.1
Double faults1.93.5
1st serve %76.4%75.1%
Break %36.4%33.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1
Over 22.5: 57% · 1.83 Under 22.5: 43% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Borna Gojo

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/11 Tomas Machac
ATP Stockholm · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
08/11 Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Stockholm · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
07/11 Mika Brunold
ATP Stockholm · Hard
2-1 18-17 W
28/10 Dino Prizmic
Challenger Brest · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
27/10 Tom Paris
Challenger Brest · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
22/10 Daniel Altmaier
ATP Lyon · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
20/10 Arthur Fery
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
19/10 Vitaliy Sachko
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
18/10 Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
09/10 Jack Pinnington Jones
Challenger Villena · Hard
0-2 7-13 L

Ugo Humbert

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/11 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
ATP Stockholm · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
04/11 Matteo Berrettini
ATP Paris · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
02/11 Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Paris · Hard
2-1 19-16 W
28/10 Novak Djokovic
ATP Basel · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
20/10 Corentin Moutet
ATP Lyon · Hard
1-2 15-19 L
09/10 Arthur Gea
ATP Shanghai · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
03/10 Jiri Lehecka
ATP Tokyo · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
01/10 Brandon Nakashima
ATP Tokyo · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/08 Michael Zheng
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
06/08 Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert?

Our model gives 53% to Ugo Humbert, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.